Kapaz vs Neftçi: match statistics
Neftçi are the clear favorite for this match. The hosts, Kapaz, are in disastrous home form, having lost 88% of their home matches and won only 13%, conceding an average of 2.13 goals per game while scoring only 0.5. Their home goal difference of -13 and a streak of five consecutive defeats at their own stadium indicate serious problems. Neftçi, on the other hand, impress with their away performance, boasting a 44% win rate and 56% clean sheets, while conceding an average of just 0.78 goals. Furthermore, the visitors are in excellent form, with 2.2 points per match in their last five games and are on an unbeaten run. The advantage in xG (1.52 vs 1.28) and higher shooting accuracy (12% vs 5%) further support a Neftçi victory.
Kapaz vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kapaz played Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Kapaz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Neftçi: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kapaz scores 0.68 and concedes 2.16 goals per match. Neftçi scores 1.32 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kapaz 26%, Neftçi 37%. Over 2.5: Kapaz 53%, Neftçi 37%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Neftçi has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.19. Kapaz: 10.1 shots per match, Neftçi: 12.6.
Match halves
Kapaz: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.42. Neftçi: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Kapaz: 76-90+ (5 goals). Neftçi: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi are the clear favorite for this match. The hosts, Kapaz, are in disastrous home form, having lost 88% of their home matches and won only 13%, conceding an average of 2.13 goals per game while scoring only 0.5. Their home goal difference of -13 and a streak of five consecutive defeats at their own stadium indicate serious problems. Neftçi, on the other hand, impress with their away performance, boasting a 44% win rate and 56% clean sheets, while conceding an average of just 0.78 goals. Furthermore, the visitors are in excellent form, with 2.2 points per match in their last five games and are on an unbeaten run. The advantage in xG (1.52 vs 1.28) and higher shooting accuracy (12% vs 5%) further support a Neftçi victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kapaz | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Neftçi is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kapaz · 2.2 pts / match - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 94% better for: goals scored per match.
0.68 goals / match - Kapaz · 1.32 goals / match - Neftçi
Neftçi is 143% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.16 goals / match - Kapaz · 0.89 goals / match - Neftçi
Kapaz scores in 37% of matches (7 of 19 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).
Neftçi scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kapaz
Over / Under - Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 117% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.58 pts / match - Kapaz · 1.26 pts / match - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kapaz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kapaz
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Kapaz | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 45% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 32% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 68% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kapaz 0 - 0 - 1 Neftçi. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kapaz vs Neftçi?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Kapaz 1:3 Neftçi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kapaz vs Neftçi?
Kapaz score 0.68 goals per game on average and Neftçi 1.32. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Kapaz's matches and 37% of Neftçi's.
What form are Kapaz and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games Kapaz have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Neftçi 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kapaz vs Neftçi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.