Kapfenberger SV vs Sturm Graz II: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between two teams from the bottom of the table. Kapfenberger SV shows better home form with a 38% win rate at home and a goal difference of 0, while Sturm Graz II has won only 14% of their away matches. The hosts are in poor form in their last five matches (0 wins), but the visitors also do not impress with their away efficiency, scoring an average of just 0.86 goals per match. Sturm Graz II has better overall form in the last 5 matches (1.2 points per match vs 0.2), which supports their chances of a favorable result. The high draw rates of both teams (25% for the hosts, 43% for the visitors) along with similar possession stats and xG suggest a draw is the most likely scenario. Nevertheless, the hosts have a slight advantage due to playing in front of their home crowd and a slightly better goal-scoring efficiency in home matches.
Kapfenberger SV vs Sturm Graz II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kapfenberger SV played Sturm Graz II in 2. Liga (Austria). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Kapfenberger SV: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Sturm Graz II: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kapfenberger SV scores 1.17 and concedes 1.94 goals per match. Sturm Graz II scores 1.19 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kapfenberger SV 61%, Sturm Graz II 63%. Over 2.5: Kapfenberger SV 61%, Sturm Graz II 63%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Sturm Graz II has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.19. Kapfenberger SV: 9.5 shots per match, Sturm Graz II: 9.7.
Match halves
Kapfenberger SV: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.94. Sturm Graz II: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Kapfenberger SV: 46-60 (7 goals). Sturm Graz II: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Liga: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between two teams from the bottom of the table. Kapfenberger SV shows better home form with a 38% win rate at home and a goal difference of 0, while Sturm Graz II has won only 14% of their away matches. The hosts are in poor form in their last five matches (0 wins), but the visitors also do not impress with their away efficiency, scoring an average of just 0.86 goals per match. Sturm Graz II has better overall form in the last 5 matches (1.2 points per match vs 0.2), which supports their chances of a favorable result. The high draw rates of both teams (25% for the hosts, 43% for the visitors) along with similar possession stats and xG suggest a draw is the most likely scenario. Nevertheless, the hosts have a slight advantage due to playing in front of their home crowd and a slightly better goal-scoring efficiency in home matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kapfenberger SV | Sturm Graz II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sturm Graz II is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Kapfenberger SV · 1.2 pts / match - Sturm Graz II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kapfenberger SV scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Sturm Graz II keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).
Sturm Graz II scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Kapfenberger SV keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kapfenberger SV
Over / Under - Sturm Graz II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kapfenberger SV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sturm Graz II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kapfenberger SV
Sturm Graz II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Kapfenberger SV | Liga | Sturm Graz II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.11 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 74% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kapfenberger SV 1 - 0 - 0 Sturm Graz II. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kapfenberger SV vs Sturm Graz II?
The 2. Liga match finished Kapfenberger SV 2:1 Sturm Graz II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kapfenberger SV vs Sturm Graz II?
Kapfenberger SV score 1.17 goals per game on average and Sturm Graz II 1.19. The 2. Liga average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Kapfenberger SV's matches and 63% of Sturm Graz II's.
What form are Kapfenberger SV and Sturm Graz II in?
Over the last 5 games Kapfenberger SV have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Sturm Graz II 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kapfenberger SV vs Sturm Graz II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.