Karcag SE vs Budafoki MTE: match statistics
Karcag SE demonstrate a clear dominance in home matches with an impressive 67% win rate and only 22% losses at their own stadium. The hosts hold a positive goal difference of +2 in home fixtures, while Budafoki MTE display very poor away form with a 70% loss rate and a drastic -11 goal difference. Particularly concerning for the visitors is the fact that they fail to score in half of their away games (FTS% 50%), averaging just 0.9 goals per match. Karcag possess better xG statistics in home games (1.66 vs 1.32 for the visitors), confirming their attacking efficiency. Even though the recent form of both teams is not ideal, the home advantage and the significant disparity in away performance heavily favor a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Karcag's recent struggles.
Karcag SE vs Budafoki MTE: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karcag SE played Budafoki MTE in NB II (Hungary). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Karcag SE: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Budafoki MTE: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karcag SE scores 1.05 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Budafoki MTE scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karcag SE 48%, Budafoki MTE 38%. Over 2.5: Karcag SE 29%, Budafoki MTE 48%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Karcag SE has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.37. Karcag SE: 11.3 shots per match, Budafoki MTE: 10.7.
Match halves
Karcag SE: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.67. Budafoki MTE: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Karcag SE: 46-60 (6 goals). Budafoki MTE: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB II: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Karcag SE demonstrate a clear dominance in home matches with an impressive 67% win rate and only 22% losses at their own stadium. The hosts hold a positive goal difference of +2 in home fixtures, while Budafoki MTE display very poor away form with a 70% loss rate and a drastic -11 goal difference. Particularly concerning for the visitors is the fact that they fail to score in half of their away games (FTS% 50%), averaging just 0.9 goals per match. Karcag possess better xG statistics in home games (1.66 vs 1.32 for the visitors), confirming their attacking efficiency. Even though the recent form of both teams is not ideal, the home advantage and the significant disparity in away performance heavily favor a home win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Karcag's recent struggles.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karcag SE | Budafoki MTE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Budafoki MTE is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Karcag SE · 1.4 pts / match - Budafoki MTE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karcag SE is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Karcag SE · 1 goals / match - Budafoki MTE
Karcag SE is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Karcag SE · 1.67 goals / match - Budafoki MTE
Karcag SE scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Budafoki MTE keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Budafoki MTE scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Karcag SE keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karcag SE
Over / Under - Budafoki MTE
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karcag SE is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Karcag SE · 0.76 pts / match - Budafoki MTE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karcag SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Budafoki MTE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karcag SE
Budafoki MTE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB II).
Teams vs league
| Karcag SE | Liga | Budafoki MTE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 45% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Karcag SE 0 - 1 - 0 Budafoki MTE. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karcag SE vs Budafoki MTE?
The NB II match finished Karcag SE 3:2 Budafoki MTE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karcag SE vs Budafoki MTE?
Karcag SE score 1.05 goals per game on average and Budafoki MTE 1.00. The NB II average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Karcag SE's matches and 38% of Budafoki MTE's.
What form are Karcag SE and Budafoki MTE in?
Over the last 5 games Karcag SE have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Budafoki MTE 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karcag SE vs Budafoki MTE?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Karcag SE vs Budafoki MTE: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.