Kariobangi Sharks vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics
Ulinzi Stars looks significantly better in offensive statistics, recording an average of 1 goal per away match with 3.88 shots on target per game, while Kariobangi Sharks scores a mere 0.43 goals on average at home. The hosts have very poor home form with only 14% matches won and a staggering 57% of games without a goal scored, making them the least effective team in this comparison. Ulinzi Stars boasts a 0 goal difference on the road and a 38% win rate, which, given the hosts' weakness, gives them the edge. The last five matches for both teams show similar form, but higher xG indicators (0.84 vs 0.67) and better shooting efficiency speak in favor of the visitors. Considering all factors, I expect a tough match with a slight advantage for Ulinzi Stars, though a draw is also a realistic scenario.
Kariobangi Sharks vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kariobangi Sharks played Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Kariobangi Sharks: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ulinzi Stars: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kariobangi Sharks scores 0.71 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Ulinzi Stars scores 0.94 and concedes 1.06. League average: 1.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kariobangi Sharks 41%, Ulinzi Stars 53%. Over 2.5: Kariobangi Sharks 29%, Ulinzi Stars 41%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Ulinzi Stars has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.34. Kariobangi Sharks: 8.7 shots per match, Ulinzi Stars: 11.0.
Match halves
Kariobangi Sharks: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.18. Ulinzi Stars: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.18.
Goals by minute
Kariobangi Sharks: 0-15 (8 goals). Ulinzi Stars: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.98 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ulinzi Stars looks significantly better in offensive statistics, recording an average of 1 goal per away match with 3.88 shots on target per game, while Kariobangi Sharks scores a mere 0.43 goals on average at home. The hosts have very poor home form with only 14% matches won and a staggering 57% of games without a goal scored, making them the least effective team in this comparison. Ulinzi Stars boasts a 0 goal difference on the road and a 38% win rate, which, given the hosts' weakness, gives them the edge. The last five matches for both teams show similar form, but higher xG indicators (0.84 vs 0.67) and better shooting efficiency speak in favor of the visitors. Considering all factors, I expect a tough match with a slight advantage for Ulinzi Stars, though a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kariobangi Sharks | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kariobangi Sharks is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Kariobangi Sharks · 0.8 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulinzi Stars is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Kariobangi Sharks · 0.94 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
Ulinzi Stars is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Kariobangi Sharks · 1.06 goals / match - Ulinzi Stars
Kariobangi Sharks scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Ulinzi Stars scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Kariobangi Sharks keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kariobangi Sharks
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kariobangi Sharks is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Kariobangi Sharks · 0.82 pts / match - Ulinzi Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kariobangi Sharks - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kariobangi Sharks
Ulinzi Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kariobangi Sharks | Liga | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.82 | 1.98 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 43% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 32% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 36% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 24% | 35% | ▼ 24% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kariobangi Sharks 0 - 1 - 0 Ulinzi Stars. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kariobangi Sharks vs Ulinzi Stars?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Kariobangi Sharks 1:0 Ulinzi Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kariobangi Sharks vs Ulinzi Stars?
Kariobangi Sharks score 0.71 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 0.94. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Kariobangi Sharks's matches and 53% of Ulinzi Stars's.
What form are Kariobangi Sharks and Ulinzi Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Kariobangi Sharks have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kariobangi Sharks vs Ulinzi Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kariobangi Sharks vs Ulinzi Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.