Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Barycz Sułów: match statistics

Barycz Sułów are in better current form, collecting 10 points from their last five matches with 3 wins and a draw, while Karkonosze have earned 8 points. The visitors are also clearly more clinical, scoring 9 goals in their last five fixtures compared with the hosts’ 4. Away from home, Barycz have won every match so far, averaging 2 goals, 10 shots and 7 shots on target per game, with an average xG of 1.78. Karkonosze have the advantage of home soil and are yet to concede there, but they score just 0.5 goals per match and failed to find the net in 50% of their home appearances. The hosts’ solid defensive organisation could limit the margin of victory, but Barycz’s greater attacking consistency makes an away win the more likely outcome.

Barycz Sułów have clear attacking potential: they average 2.0 goals, generate an xG of 1.78 and record 7 shots on target per match, so their goal is highly likely. The key unknown remains Karkonosze, who have scored only 0.8 goals per match across their last 5 fixtures, with BTTS occurring in just 20% of cases. The hosts have averaged 2.0 goals per game this season, but their current xG stands at 1.13, while Barycz allow opponents just 1.18 xG. Additionally, Karkonosze have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches so far, strengthening the scenario in which at least one side fails to score. Although the league average for BTTS is a high 67%, the hosts’ current lower scoring efficiency gives a slight edge to the BTTS - No pick.

The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals, as Karkonosze have scored only 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches, with their games going Over 2.5 goals in just 20% of cases. Barycz have shown greater attacking potential, averaging 1.8 goals scored and an xG of 1.48 across their last five appearances, while Karkonosze have conceded an average of just 1.0 goal during this period. The teams’ current combined xG figures stand at 1.13 and 1.48, pointing to a forecast of around 2.5 goals, clearly below the four-goal threshold. Neither team has recorded a result above 3.5 goals in their most recent matches, while the league average of 3.14 is higher than the expected total for this game. Over 1.5 goals remains likely, but Under 3.5 goals offers a clearer safety margin given the hosts’ limited scoring form.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Barycz Sułów victory at full-time, as both teams have frequently been level at the break in their last five matches: Karkonosze in 60% and Barycz in 67% of games. The first halves have also been tight, with the hosts averaging 0.4 goals and the visitors 0.33, while neither team conceded before the break. After half-time, the attacking advantage shifts to Barycz, who have averaged 1.0 goal in the second half across their last five matches, while Karkonosze have conceded 1.0 goal during that period. The visitors also show better current full-match efficiency: they won 60% of their last five matches and scored 1.8 goals per game, compared with Karkonosze’s 40% win rate and 0.8 goals per match. Barycz’s higher average xG—1.78 compared with the hosts’ 1.36—and 7 shots on target per match versus 4 further support an outcome in favour of the visitors after the break.