Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: match statistics
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played Goczałkowice Zdrój in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match was played on 8 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Goczałkowice Zdrój: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra scores 1.72 and concedes 1.66 goals per match. Goczałkowice Zdrój scores 1.48 and concedes 1.24. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 76%, Goczałkowice Zdrój 55%. Over 2.5: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 66%, Goczałkowice Zdrój 62%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Goczałkowice Zdrój has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.47. Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: 6.3 shots per match, Goczałkowice Zdrój: 7.7.
Match halves
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72. Goczałkowice Zdrój: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: 0-15 (15 goals). Goczałkowice Zdrój: 0-15 (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1) — Karkonosze display superior recent scoring form: 12 goals in the last 5 matches (avg. 2.4 per match) versus just 5 goals (1.0 per match) for Goczałkowice. At home the hosts average 1.71 goals and have 0% matches without scoring, while the visitors average 1.29 goals on the road and fail to score in 36% of away games. Karkonosze are also more efficient — shot conversion rate is 14% compared to 9% for their opponents, despite both teams attempting a similar ~10.6 shots per match and having comparable shots on target (3.57 vs 3.78). Note that xG is virtually even (home xG 1.40 vs away xG 1.41) and the visitors have a better xG against (1.29 vs 1.52), suggesting Goczałkowice create higher-quality chances but fail to convert them as effectively. Considering the hosts' efficiency edge, the offensive run (12 goals vs 5) and superior recent results (avg. 1.6 points per match vs 0.8), I give Karkonosze a 60% chance, a draw 20% and an away win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I prefer BTTS - Yes because the home side has a season BTTS rate of 60% and 100% in the last 5 matches (5/5), while the away side has 50% for the season and 80% in the last 5 matches (4/5), versus a league average BTTS of 59%. In their last 5 matches the home team scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and conceded 8 (1.6), whereas the away team scored 5 (1.0) and conceded 7 (1.4), indicating both teams can both score and concede. xG comparison further supports a real chance for both sides: home xG for 1.58 versus away xG against 1.29, and away xG for 1.41 versus home xG against 1.45 — expected goals are similar and favor goals from both teams. Over 2.5 goal rates are high (60% for home, 64% for away) and the league average is 3.17 goals per match, while clean sheet rates are low (33% and 29%), all of which increase the likelihood of BTTS. Considering form (5/5 and 4/5 BTTS), seasonal goal records (50 scored/48 conceded for home vs 43/36 for away) and xG, I assign 75% probability to 'yes' and 25% to 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model based on xG and seasonal averages forecasts 1.44 expected goals for Karkonosze (attacking xG 1.58 and opponents’ defensive xG 1.29 → average 1.44) and 1.43 for Goczałkowice (attacking xG 1.41 and home defense xG 1.45 → average 1.43), giving a total of 2.87 goals. Seasonal shares of matches over 1.5 goals are 73% for the home side and 79% for the away side; additionally, the home team averages 2.4 scored goals in the last 5 matches versus 1.0 for the visitors, so I assess the chance of Over 1.5 at about 78%. For the 2.5 line both teams have season rates of 60% and 64% for matches over 2.5 and the league records 66%; with an expected combined xG of 2.87 I assign Over 2.5 a probability of around 64%. Over 3.5 appears less likely (seasonally 20% and 36% for the two teams), so I estimate its probability at about 29%; additionally, the home conversion rate of 12% versus 9% for the visitors and both teams’ BTTS rates (60% and 50%, and in the last 5 matches 100% and 80% respectively) support a bias toward overs in the 1.5–2.5 range, hence the recommendation: Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears most likely: the home team were level at the break in 57% of their matches and the visitors in 75% (average 66%), so a draw at half-time is the strongest signal. However, the hosts more often overturn the score after the break — in their last five fixtures the home side averaged 2.4 points in the second half and won the second half in 80% of cases, while the visitors won it only 20%, which increases the probability of a home victory after the interval. Additionally, the hosts show superior offensive metrics: season average goals for the home team 1.67 versus goals conceded by the away team 1.57, home xG 1.58 against xG conceded by the visitors 1.29, 4.38 shots on target versus 3.78 for the away side and a conversion rate of 12% versus 9%. On this basis I assign X/1 (Half-Time draw, home win Full-Time) a 30% probability as the strongest scenario, X/X 23% and X/2 13% (HT draw total ≈66%), and distribute the remaining combinations as follows: 1/1=9%, 1/X=4%, 1/2=1%, 2/1=9%, 2/X=6%, 2/2=5% (sum 100%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | Goczałkowice Zdrój | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.82 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 0.8 pts / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.72 goals / match - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 1.48 goals / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Goczałkowice Zdrój is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.66 goals / match - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 1.24 goals / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Goczałkowice Zdrój keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Goczałkowice Zdrój scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Karkonosze Jelenia Góra keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Over / Under - Goczałkowice Zdrój
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 0.93 pts / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Goczałkowice Zdrój - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (15 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Goczałkowice Zdrój
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | Liga | Goczałkowice Zdrój | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 3.21 | ▼ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 66% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 23% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 38% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 66% | 40% | ▼ 34% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0 - 0 - 1 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0:1 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.72 goals per game on average and Goczałkowice Zdrój 1.48. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's matches and 55% of Goczałkowice Zdrój's.
What form are Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and Goczałkowice Zdrój in?
Over the last 5 games Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
The statistical background for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.