Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Odra Bytom Odrzański: match statistics

Karkonosze are unbeaten at home, winning 2 of their 3 matches, averaging 1.33 goals scored and conceding none. However, Odra have shown better form across their last five matches, recording 4 wins and averaging 2.4 points per game, while conceding just 1 goal during that period. The hosts create more chances on home soil, averaging 17 shots and posting an xG of 2.00, compared with Odra’s 10 shots and xG of 1.36 away from home. Both defences have kept clean sheets in all matches played in these respective roles, while the average goals total stands at just 1.33 for Karkonosze at home and 1.00 for Odra away. The hosts’ advantage in the quality of chances created offsets the visitors’ superior recent run, making a low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as both teams currently have a season BTTS rate of 0%. Odra have yet to concede away from home, keeping a clean sheet in 100% of their matches, while Karkonosze concede an average of just 0.33 goals at home and record clean sheets in 67% of fixtures. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals at home, while the visitors average 1.00 goals away, but the very low number of goals conceded by both defences clearly limits the likelihood of both teams scoring. In Odra’s last five matches, opponents have been limited to just 0.2 goals per game, with not a single BTTS result recorded, despite their average attacking xG standing at 1.47. Karkonosze recorded BTTS in 40% of their last five matches, but with only 0.6 goals conceded per game, the more likely scenario remains that at least one team will fail to score.

The profile of both teams points to a low-scoring game: Karkonosze concede just 0.33 goals per match this season, while Odra concede only 0.00. In their last five matches, the hosts averaged 1.8 total goals, whereas Odra’s games produced just 1.4 goals on average. Odra have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far, compared with 67% for Karkonosze, significantly limiting the chances of an open exchange despite the hosts’ xG of 1.55. Neither team has recorded a match with more than three goals, and the 3.5 line has stayed under in all of their games, making Under 3.5 the strongest pick.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a win for Odra Bytom Odrzański, as the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far and have conceded an average of just 0.2 goals in their last five. Both teams tend to play cautiously in the first half: Odra score an average of 0.5 goals before the break, compared with 0.33 for Karkonosze, while a half-time draw occurred in 40% of each team’s last five matches. Odra have a clearly stronger recent results profile, winning 80% of their last five fixtures compared with Karkonosze’s 40%, and averaging 2.4 points per match versus the hosts’ 1.6. After the break, the visitors have scored an average of 0.8 goals in their last five matches without conceding any, which supports the expectation that a closely contested game will ultimately turn in their favour. Karkonosze have home advantage and a higher xG, 1.55 compared with 1.36, but Odra’s defensive consistency reduces the likelihood of the hosts holding onto a lead.