Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Pawłowice Śląskie: match statistics
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Pawłowice Śląskie: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played Pawłowice Śląskie in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match was played on 10 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Pawłowice Śląskie: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra scores 1.58 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Pawłowice Śląskie scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 71%, Pawłowice Śląskie 48%. Over 2.5: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 67%, Pawłowice Śląskie 68%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.24. Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: 6.4 shots per match, Pawłowice Śląskie: 5.8.
Match halves
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.58. Pawłowice Śląskie: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: 0-15 (14 goals). Pawłowice Śląskie: 0-15 (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra are clear favorites: at home they score an average of 1.73 goals per game, have a 45% home win rate and 8 home wins this season, while Pawłowice have only 5 wins in the entire season and average 0.75 goals on the road. In their last five matches the hosts have scored 7 goals (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats), whereas the visitors have lost all 5 recent games, scoring only 3 goals and collecting 0 points. Pawłowice’s defense looks weaker: they concede 1.75 goals on average away and have an away goal difference of -12, while Karkonosze concede 1.36 goals at home and have a home goal difference of +4; xG shows 1.24 xG for the hosts in home matches versus 1.11 xG for the visitors away. The hosts average 9.8 shots with 3.2 on target and convert 12% of attempts, while the guests record 8 shots with 2.38 on target and only 6% conversion, indicating a clear advantage in the quality of chances for the home side. Considering that the hosts have not had a goalless home game (0% of home matches without scoring), while the visitors failed to score in 58% of their away matches, combined with markedly lower average goals conceded (1.36 vs 1.75) and a superior home record (+4 vs -12), I forecast a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The forecast leans towards BTTS - Yes: the home side have a seasonal BTTS rate of 62% and as high as 80% in their last 5 matches, while the league average is 61%. Pawłowice have only 33% season-long BTTS and 40% in the last 5, but they concede an average of 1.75 goals over the season and as many as 2.8 goals in the last 5 matches, which raises opponents' scoring probability. Karkonosze score 1.23 goals and concede 2.23 goals on the season, have xG 1.34 versus xG conceded 1.66 and average 4.0 shots on target per match, creating goal-scoring situations for both sides. Low clean sheet expected rates (8% for hosts and 17% for visitors) and a high percentage of home matches over 2.5 goals (77%) further support a Goal/Goal scenario. Therefore I assign BTTS (Yes) a 75% probability and BTTS (No) 25%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals at 1.58 for Karkonosze and 1.39 for Pawłowice, totaling 2.97 goals (calculated from average xG: home attack 1.34 vs away defense 1.82; away attack 1.11 vs home defense 1.66). Seasonal stats show the home side scores over 1.5 goals in 92% of matches, the away side in 67%, and the league average goals is 3.21, which is a strong signal for Over 1.5 and also supports Over 2.5. The hosts average 4.0 shots on target with a 17% conversion rate versus 2.38 shots on target and 6% conversion for the visitors; in the last 5 matches Karkonosze have scored 7 and conceded 9, while Pawłowice have scored 3 and conceded 14 — this increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. A Poisson model based on xG (μ=2.97) gives roughly a 57% probability of more than 2.5 goals and ~35% for 4+ goals, so Over 3.5 is less certain despite seasonal splits of 69% of home matches and 17% of away matches finishing Over 3.5. For these reasons I pick Over 1.5 as the strongest and most probable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast the home side to lead at the break, as hosts average 0.5 goals by half-time versus 0.0 for the visitors, while visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals before the break. For the full-time result I expect the home win (selection 1/1): the home team’s xG is 1.34 compared to the visitors’ 1.11, they register on average 4.0 shots on target versus 2.38 and have a shot conversion rate of 17% against the opponents’ 6%, which supports maintaining the lead. There is, however, a risk of a draw or a turnaround, since the hosts concede an average of 2.23 goals per match and 1.75 in the second half, increasing the likelihood of 1/X or X/1 scenarios. Additionally, the visitors are in very poor form (5 defeats in 5 matches and 2.8 goals conceded on average in their last five), so I ultimately select 1/1 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | Pawłowice Śląskie | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.74 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 1 goals / match - Pawłowice Śląskie
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 2 goals / match - Pawłowice Śląskie
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Pawłowice Śląskie keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
Pawłowice Śląskie scores in 56% of matches (14 of 25 matches), while Karkonosze Jelenia Góra keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Over / Under - Pawłowice Śląskie
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · 0.92 pts / match - Pawłowice Śląskie
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pawłowice Śląskie - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (36). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Pawłowice Śląskie
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | Liga | Pawłowice Śląskie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.25 | 3.24 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 54% | 33% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 58% | 35% | ▼ 20% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Pawłowice ŚląskieGoalPaweł Szostek
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0 - 0 - 1 Pawłowice Śląskie. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Pawłowice Śląskie?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1:1 Pawłowice Śląskie. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Pawłowice Śląskie?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.58 goals per game on average and Pawłowice Śląskie 1.00. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's matches and 48% of Pawłowice Śląskie's.
What form are Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and Pawłowice Śląskie in?
Over the last 5 games Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pawłowice Śląskie 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Pawłowice Śląskie?
The statistical background for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Pawłowice Śląskie — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.