Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Stilon Gorzów: match statistics

Both teams have an identical league record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, while each has collected 1 point per game over their last five matches, so there is little separating them. Karkonosze are unbeaten at home, recording a 50% win rate and 50% draw rate, while also keeping a clean sheet in all of their home appearances. Stilon average 2.33 goals scored away from home and have never failed to score, but they also concede 1.67 goals per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The hosts create more chances, averaging 17 shots and 9 on target compared with Stilon’s 11 and 5.33, while their home xG stands at 2.00 versus the visitors’ 1.54 away from home. Home advantage and Karkonosze’s highly solid defence point to a narrow home win, although Stilon’s clinical finishing increases the likelihood of a draw.

The signal for both teams to score is clear: BTTS occurred in 75% of Karkonosze’s matches and in all of Stilon’s games, compared with the league average of 52%. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, while Stilon concedes an average of 1.67 goals per match and has a high xG against of 1.88. The hosts score an average of 1.25 goals, but their latest attacking xG stands at as high as 1.95, suggesting the potential to exploit the opponent’s defensive weaknesses. Stilon is particularly reliable in front of goal, averaging 2.33 goals per match, 1.54 xG and a 21% shot conversion rate, while Karkonosze concede an average of 1.00 goal. The form across the last five matches is slightly more cautious, with BTTS at 40% and 60%, but both teams still generated 1.95 and 1.57 xG respectively, so the more likely scenario remains a goal for each side.

Stilon scores an average of 2.33 goals per match, while Karkonosze concede 1.00 goal per game, with the hosts yet to keep a clean sheet. The hosts should also create chances, as their average xG stands at 1.21, while Stilon allow opponents an xG as high as 1.88. Stilon’s matches have featured at least 2 goals in 100% of games, with both teams scoring in 100% of their fixtures; for Karkonosze, the Both Teams To Score rate is 75%. The last five matches involving both teams have been more subdued in terms of results, but Karkonosze’s xG of 1.95 and xG against of 1.75 still point to an open game profile. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the data for both teams clearly supports at least two goals, while the Over 2.5 line carries greater risk.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as the hosts have drawn 50% of their home matches, while Stilon have drawn 33% of their away fixtures. In the first halves, Karkonosze averaged only 0.0 goals at home and have not led at the break on any occasion, whereas the visitors went into half-time level in as many as 67% of their away matches. The recent form of both teams is almost identical: each has won 20%, drawn 40% and lost 40% of their last five matches. Stilon’s advantage over the course of the season is evident in attack, with an average of 2.33 goals compared with the hosts’ 1.25, but their defence concedes 1.67 goals per match, and neither side has kept a clean sheet. This increases the likelihood of an evenly matched, high-scoring game, but given both teams’ strong tendency to draw, X/X remains the most probable HT/FT outcome.