Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus: match statistics

Karlsruher SC have shown slightly more consistent form, scoring 8 goals in their last five matches and recording 2 wins and 2 draws, while Energie Cottbus have lost 3 of their last 5 fixtures. The hosts create plenty of chances at home, averaging 21 shots, including 6 on target, with an average xG of 2.13 compared with Cottbus’ 1.65 away from home. However, both defences are clearly error-prone, as Karlsruher concede an average of 3 goals per home match, while the visitors concede as many as 3.5, and neither side has kept a clean sheet in these conditions. Energie Cottbus have scored 10 goals in their last five outings, but they have not won any away match and failed to score in as many as 50% of them. The superior quality of chances created and the stronger recent record favour a narrow Karlsruher SC victory, although the open style of both teams increases the risk of a draw.

Karlsruher SC have landed BTTS in 100% of their matches so far, while across the last five games, the figures stand at 80% for the hosts and 60% for Energie Cottbus. The hosts score an average of 3.0 goals per match and concede 2.5, while Cottbus score 2.0 goals but allow opponents as many as 3.5. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, strongly supporting a goal for both sides. Their attacking potential is further confirmed by average xG figures of 1.72 for Karlsruher and 1.65 for Cottbus, combined with high xG conceded figures of 2.30 and 1.92 respectively. The BTTS - Yes pick is stronger than the BTTS - No scenario, in which at least one team fails to score, especially since the league records BTTS in 61% of matches.

The match profile clearly points towards goals: Karlsruher have averaged 1.6 goals scored in their last 5 matches, while Cottbus have averaged 2.0, conceding 1.8 and 2.8 goals respectively. The average xG from their last five matches stands at 1.99 for the hosts and 1.75 for the visitors, while their defences allowed 1.59 and 2.11 xG. At least 3 goals were scored in 4 of the last 5 matches for each team, and the league average of 3.64 goals further confirms the attacking nature of this fixture. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have recorded 100% of matches with at least 2 goals so far, while neither defence has kept a clean sheet.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and a Karlsruher SC win at full-time, as the hosts have been level at the break in 100% of their home matches to date, while Energie Cottbus have been trailing after 45 minutes in 100% of their away games. Karlsruher average 3.0 goals per home match, whereas Cottbus concede as many as 3.5 goals away from home, clearly strengthening the scenario of the hosts taking control after the break. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored an average of 1.6 goals and lost in only 20% of cases, while the visitors have conceded 2.8 goals per game and suffered defeat in 60% of matches. After half-time, Karlsruher score an average of 2.0 goals at home, while Cottbus have conceded 1.4 goals in this period across their last five matches, so a draw at half-time should more often turn into a home win.