Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel: match statistics
Karlsruher SC is showing solid home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a goal difference of 0, indicating stability. The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per match at home, with a similar number of goals conceded, but their xG (1.35) is higher than Holstein Kiel's away xG (1.19). Holstein Kiel is in terrible form, averaging just 0.2 points per match in their last five games and on a five-match losing streak. The visitors win only 18% of their away matches and have a negative goal difference of -5 on the road. Karlsruher SC has the edge in ball possession (47% vs 48%) and a better shot conversion rate (15% vs 11%), which, combined with home support, should tip the scales in their favor. Considering all statistics, especially the visitors' catastrophic form, the hosts have a clear advantage to secure a victory.
Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karlsruher SC played Holstein Kiel in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Karlsruher SC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Holstein Kiel: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karlsruher SC scores 1.41 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. Holstein Kiel scores 1.23 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karlsruher SC 55%, Holstein Kiel 64%. Over 2.5: Karlsruher SC 68%, Holstein Kiel 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Karlsruher SC has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.30. Karlsruher SC: 11.9 shots per match, Holstein Kiel: 12.0.
Match halves
Karlsruher SC: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.91. Holstein Kiel: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Karlsruher SC: 76-90+ (11 goals). Holstein Kiel: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Karlsruher SC is showing solid home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a goal difference of 0, indicating stability. The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per match at home, with a similar number of goals conceded, but their xG (1.35) is higher than Holstein Kiel's away xG (1.19). Holstein Kiel is in terrible form, averaging just 0.2 points per match in their last five games and on a five-match losing streak. The visitors win only 18% of their away matches and have a negative goal difference of -5 on the road. Karlsruher SC has the edge in ball possession (47% vs 48%) and a better shot conversion rate (15% vs 11%), which, combined with home support, should tip the scales in their favor. Considering all statistics, especially the visitors' catastrophic form, the hosts have a clear advantage to secure a victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karlsruher SC | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Karlsruher SC is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Karlsruher SC · 0.8 pts / match - Holstein Kiel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karlsruher SC is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Karlsruher SC · 1.23 goals / match - Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.91 goals / match - Karlsruher SC · 1.41 goals / match - Holstein Kiel
Karlsruher SC scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Holstein Kiel scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Karlsruher SC keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karlsruher SC
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Holstein Kiel is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Karlsruher SC · 1.32 pts / match - Holstein Kiel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karlsruher SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karlsruher SC
Holstein Kiel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Karlsruher SC | Liga | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.32 | 2.86 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Karlsruher SC 0 - 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Karlsruher SC 3:1 Holstein Kiel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel?
Karlsruher SC score 1.41 goals per game on average and Holstein Kiel 1.23. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Karlsruher SC's matches and 64% of Holstein Kiel's.
What form are Karlsruher SC and Holstein Kiel in?
Over the last 5 games Karlsruher SC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Holstein Kiel 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.