Karmiotissa vs Ayia Napa: match statistics
Karmiotissa is displaying impressive home form with a 73% win rate and a +17 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 home matches, scoring an average of 2.36 goals while conceding just 0.82 goals per game. Ayia Napa is going through a tough period, averaging only 0.8 points per match in their last five outings, with three consecutive defeats. The visitors have a weaker away record (50% win rate), a lower xG (1.36 vs 1.67 for the hosts), and only a 17% clean sheet rate on the road. The difference in possession (55% vs 50%) and offensive quality favors Karmiotissa. Considering all factors, particularly the home side's dominance at home and the visitors' recent poor form, a Karmiotissa victory is the most likely outcome, though Ayia Napa has the potential to put up a fight, making a draw the second-highest probability.
Karmiotissa vs Ayia Napa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karmiotissa played Ayia Napa in Second Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Karmiotissa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ayia Napa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karmiotissa scores 1.87 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ayia Napa scores 1.22 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karmiotissa 57%, Ayia Napa 43%. Over 2.5: Karmiotissa 61%, Ayia Napa 35%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Karmiotissa has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.22. Karmiotissa: 8.9 shots per match, Ayia Napa: 5.1.
Match halves
Karmiotissa: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.96. Ayia Napa: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Karmiotissa: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ayia Napa: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Karmiotissa is displaying impressive home form with a 73% win rate and a +17 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 home matches, scoring an average of 2.36 goals while conceding just 0.82 goals per game. Ayia Napa is going through a tough period, averaging only 0.8 points per match in their last five outings, with three consecutive defeats. The visitors have a weaker away record (50% win rate), a lower xG (1.36 vs 1.67 for the hosts), and only a 17% clean sheet rate on the road. The difference in possession (55% vs 50%) and offensive quality favors Karmiotissa. Considering all factors, particularly the home side's dominance at home and the visitors' recent poor form, a Karmiotissa victory is the most likely outcome, though Ayia Napa has the potential to put up a fight, making a draw the second-highest probability.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karmiotissa | Ayia Napa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Karmiotissa is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Karmiotissa · 0.8 pts / match - Ayia Napa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karmiotissa is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.87 goals / match - Karmiotissa · 1.22 goals / match - Ayia Napa
Karmiotissa is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Karmiotissa · 1.17 goals / match - Ayia Napa
Karmiotissa scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Ayia Napa keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Ayia Napa scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Karmiotissa keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karmiotissa
Over / Under - Ayia Napa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karmiotissa is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.91 pts / match - Karmiotissa · 0.96 pts / match - Ayia Napa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karmiotissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ayia Napa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karmiotissa
Ayia Napa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| Karmiotissa | Liga | Ayia Napa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.87 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 47% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 30% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 76% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KarmiotissaGoalLuiz Henrique Guedes
- KarmiotissaGoalGiannis Bastianos
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Karmiotissa 1 - 1 - 0 Ayia Napa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karmiotissa vs Ayia Napa?
The Second Division match finished Karmiotissa 3:0 Ayia Napa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Karmiotissa and Ayia Napa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Karmiotissa won 1, Ayia Napa won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Karmiotissa vs Ayia Napa?
Karmiotissa score 1.87 goals per game on average and Ayia Napa 1.22. The Second Division average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Karmiotissa's matches and 43% of Ayia Napa's.
What form are Karmiotissa and Ayia Napa in?
Over the last 5 games Karmiotissa have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ayia Napa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karmiotissa vs Ayia Napa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.