Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar: match statistics
Karpaty seem to have an edge in this match, despite their recent poor form. The hosts boast significantly better offensive statistics at home – averaging 1.1 goals per match with an xG of 1.89, indicating unfinished chances that could turn around. Obolon-Brovar shows very poor efficiency away from home (0.89 goals/match, 44% loss rate), as well as the highest FTS% rate of 44%, meaning frequent struggles to score. Karpaty also have an advantage in possession (55% vs 40%) and significantly more shots on target (5.3 vs 2.78), which should translate into greater control of the match. Given the identical form in their last five matches (0.8 PPG each), the hosts' offensive edge and home support will be crucial, giving them a real chance to win.
Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karpaty played Obolon-Brovar in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Karpaty: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Obolon-Brovar: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karpaty scores 1.25 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Obolon-Brovar scores 0.85 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karpaty 45%, Obolon-Brovar 40%. Over 2.5: Karpaty 40%, Obolon-Brovar 55%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Karpaty has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.02. Karpaty: 14.2 shots per match, Obolon-Brovar: 8.0.
Match halves
Karpaty: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Obolon-Brovar: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Karpaty: 61-75 (6 goals). Obolon-Brovar: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Karpaty seem to have an edge in this match, despite their recent poor form. The hosts boast significantly better offensive statistics at home – averaging 1.1 goals per match with an xG of 1.89, indicating unfinished chances that could turn around. Obolon-Brovar shows very poor efficiency away from home (0.89 goals/match, 44% loss rate), as well as the highest FTS% rate of 44%, meaning frequent struggles to score. Karpaty also have an advantage in possession (55% vs 40%) and significantly more shots on target (5.3 vs 2.78), which should translate into greater control of the match. Given the identical form in their last five matches (0.8 PPG each), the hosts' offensive edge and home support will be crucial, giving them a real chance to win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karpaty | Obolon-Brovar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Obolon-Brovar is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Karpaty · 1.4 pts / match - Obolon-Brovar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karpaty is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Karpaty · 0.85 goals / match - Obolon-Brovar
Karpaty is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Karpaty · 1.45 goals / match - Obolon-Brovar
Karpaty scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Obolon-Brovar keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Obolon-Brovar scores in 55% of matches (11 of 20 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karpaty
Over / Under - Obolon-Brovar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karpaty is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Karpaty · 1.15 pts / match - Obolon-Brovar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karpaty - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Obolon-Brovar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karpaty
Obolon-Brovar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Karpaty | Liga | Obolon-Brovar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.55 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 34% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Karpaty 1 - 0 - 0 Obolon-Brovar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Karpaty 4:0 Obolon-Brovar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar?
Karpaty score 1.25 goals per game on average and Obolon-Brovar 0.85. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Karpaty's matches and 40% of Obolon-Brovar's.
What form are Karpaty and Obolon-Brovar in?
Over the last 5 games Karpaty have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Obolon-Brovar 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar?
The statistical background for Karpaty vs Obolon-Brovar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.