Karvan FK vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Karvan FK played Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Karvan FK: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Neftçi: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Karvan FK scores 0.73 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. Neftçi scores 1.20 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.51 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Karvan FK 53%, Neftçi 40%. Over 2.5: Karvan FK 60%, Neftçi 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Neftçi has higher xG: 1.57 vs 0.85. Karvan FK: 6.3 shots per match, Neftçi: 11.9.

Match halves

Karvan FK: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.33. Neftçi: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Karvan FK: 31-45+ (4 goals). Neftçi: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premyer Liqası: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

36Possession (%)64
Karvan FKNeftçi
6Shots13
Karvan FKNeftçi
2Shots on target5
Karvan FKNeftçi
0.84xG1.61
Karvan FKNeftçi
1Corners2
Karvan FKNeftçi
43Dangerous attacks60
Karvan FKNeftçi
20Fouls17
Karvan FKNeftçi
5Cards3
Karvan FKNeftçi

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.73Goals scored / match1.2
Karvan FKNeftçi
2.13Goals conceded / match1.07
Karvan FKNeftçi
44%Average possession57%
Karvan FKNeftçi
1.73Shots on target / match5.07
Karvan FKNeftçi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.33Shots per match11.87
Karvan FKNeftçi
1.73Shots on target5.07
Karvan FKNeftçi
11.6%Shot conversion10.1%
Karvan FKNeftçi
44%Possession57%
Karvan FKNeftçi
0.85xG for1.57
Karvan FKNeftçi
1.67xG against1.17
Karvan FKNeftçi

Shooting quality

Karvan FK: BalancedNeftçi: Balanced
Karvan FKNeftçi
Accuracy (shots on target)27%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Neftçi is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Karvan FK · 0.4 pts / match - Neftçi

Karvan FK
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
7% W20% R73% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-11
0.40 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-7
Last 5 at home
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.81Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Neftçi
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W53% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-8-4
1.13 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Neftçi is 64% better for: goals scored per match.

0.73 goals / match - Karvan FK · 1.2 goals / match - Neftçi

Neftçi is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.13 goals / match - Karvan FK · 1.07 goals / match - Neftçi

Karvan FK scoring profile: mixed

Karvan FK scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

Neftçi scoring profile: very strong

Neftçi scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Karvan FK keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).

11Goals scored (season)18
Karvan FKNeftçi
32Goals conceded (season)16
Karvan FKNeftçi
2.87Average goals in match2.27
Karvan FKNeftçi
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Karvan FKNeftçi
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
Karvan FKNeftçi

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal53%
Karvan FKNeftçi
13%2 goals47%
Karvan FKNeftçi
7%3 goals7%
Karvan FKNeftçi
0%4 goals7%
Karvan FKNeftçi

How often they concede at least...

93%1 goal60%
Karvan FKNeftçi
80%2 goals40%
Karvan FKNeftçi
33%3 goals7%
Karvan FKNeftçi
7%4 goals0%
Karvan FKNeftçi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
Karvan FKNeftçi
0%BTTS in both halves13%
Karvan FKNeftçi
13%Scored in both halves27%
Karvan FKNeftçi

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Karvan FKNeftçi
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Karvan FKNeftçi
60%BTTS - last 540%
Karvan FKNeftçi

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time47%
Karvan FKNeftçi
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Karvan FKNeftçi
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Karvan FKNeftçi

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Karvan FKNeftçi
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Karvan FKNeftçi
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Karvan FKNeftçi

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Karvan FK - half-time state
20% leading53% draw27% trailing
Neftçi - half-time state
13% leading73% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.13
Karvan FKNeftçi
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Karvan FKNeftçi
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Karvan FKNeftçi
1Average goals (1st half)0.73
Karvan FKNeftçi
53%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Karvan FKNeftçi
60%No goal before half-time67%
Karvan FKNeftçi

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per match (2nd half)1.27
Karvan FKNeftçi
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Karvan FKNeftçi
1.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
Karvan FKNeftçi
1.87Average goals (2nd half)1.53
Karvan FKNeftçi
20%Clean sheet after half-time53%
Karvan FKNeftçi
73%No goal after half-time53%
Karvan FKNeftçi

Karvan FK - second-half results

0% W33% R67% P
17
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding35%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Neftçi - second-half results

27% W47% R27% P
17
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding154%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Karvan FK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.20
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+1-8
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Neftçi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.6
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Karvan FK
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
1
5
46-60
2
8
61-75
2
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Neftçi
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
28%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Karvan FK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.82
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
173%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Neftçi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

Karvan FKLigaNeftçi
Average goals in match 2.872.51 2.27
Both teams scored 53%46% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%47% 33%
Clean sheets 7%31% 40%
Goal before half-time 67%64% 47%
Goal after half-time 80%77% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.51
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+4%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Karvan FKYellow cardOlawale Doyeni
  2. NeftçiYellow cardIgor Francisco Ribeiro
  3. Karvan FKGoalAraz Abdullayev
  4. NeftçiSubstitutionOn: Falaye SackoOff: Cristian Ionuţ Costin
  5. Karvan FKSubstitutionOn: Samuel DurrantOff: Kings Peter Ngozi
  6. NeftçiYellow cardBassala Sambou
  7. NeftçiSubstitutionOn: Luis OrtizOff: Jordan Lenín Rezabala Anzules
  8. Karvan FKYellow cardAraz Abdullayev
  9. NeftçiGoalBassala Sambou
  10. NeftçiYellow cardMoustapha Seck
  11. NeftçiSubstitutionOn: Alessio CurciOff: Imad Faraj
  12. Karvan FKSubstitutionOn: Vusal MasimovOff: Moise Ngwisani
  13. Karvan FKYellow cardImani Barker
  14. Karvan FKYellow cardVadim Abdullayev
  15. NeftçiGoalEmin Mahmudov

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Karvan FK 0 - 1 - 0 Neftçi. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Neftçi PFC Bakı
0 : 0
Karvan FK

FAQ

What was the result of Karvan FK vs Neftçi?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Karvan FK 1:2 Neftçi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Karvan FK vs Neftçi?

Karvan FK score 0.73 goals per game on average and Neftçi 1.20. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Karvan FK's matches and 40% of Neftçi's.

What form are Karvan FK and Neftçi in?

Over the last 5 games Karvan FK have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Neftçi 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karvan FK vs Neftçi?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.