Karvan FK vs Sumqayıt: match statistics
Sumqayıt is the clear favorite for this encounter. Karvan FK is displaying disastrous form with an 89% loss rate at home, has not won a single home match this season, and holds a goal difference of -14 at their own stadium. The hosts average just 0.67 goals per home game while conceding 2.22, indicating serious problems in both lines. Sumqayıt, on the other hand, has a balanced away record with a 38% win rate, a positive goal difference (+1), and significantly better offensive (1.13 goals per game) and defensive (1.00 goal conceded) statistics. The technical advantage of the visitors is also visible in possession (50% vs 45%) and shot conversion (13% vs 10%). The form over the last five matches also favors Sumqayıt (1.4 points per game vs 0.2 points), making an away win the most probable scenario.
Karvan FK vs Sumqayıt: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Karvan FK played Sumqayıt in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Karvan FK: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Sumqayıt: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Karvan FK scores 0.76 and concedes 2.24 goals per match. Sumqayıt scores 1.41 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Karvan FK 59%, Sumqayıt 53%. Over 2.5: Karvan FK 65%, Sumqayıt 53%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Sumqayıt has higher xG: 1.30 vs 0.85. Karvan FK: 6.5 shots per match, Sumqayıt: 9.8.
Match halves
Karvan FK: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.35. Sumqayıt: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Karvan FK: 31-45+ (5 goals). Sumqayıt: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sumqayıt is the clear favorite for this encounter. Karvan FK is displaying disastrous form with an 89% loss rate at home, has not won a single home match this season, and holds a goal difference of -14 at their own stadium. The hosts average just 0.67 goals per home game while conceding 2.22, indicating serious problems in both lines. Sumqayıt, on the other hand, has a balanced away record with a 38% win rate, a positive goal difference (+1), and significantly better offensive (1.13 goals per game) and defensive (1.00 goal conceded) statistics. The technical advantage of the visitors is also visible in possession (50% vs 45%) and shot conversion (13% vs 10%). The form over the last five matches also favors Sumqayıt (1.4 points per game vs 0.2 points), making an away win the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Karvan FK | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sumqayıt is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Karvan FK · 1.4 pts / match - Sumqayıt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sumqayıt is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
0.76 goals / match - Karvan FK · 1.41 goals / match - Sumqayıt
Sumqayıt is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.24 goals / match - Karvan FK · 1.41 goals / match - Sumqayıt
Karvan FK scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Sumqayıt keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Sumqayıt scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Karvan FK keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Karvan FK
Over / Under - Sumqayıt
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Karvan FK is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Karvan FK · 0.76 pts / match - Sumqayıt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Karvan FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 6%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sumqayıt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Karvan FK
Sumqayıt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Karvan FK | Liga | Sumqayıt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 31% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Karvan FK 0 - 0 - 1 Sumqayıt. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Karvan FK vs Sumqayıt?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Karvan FK 0:2 Sumqayıt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Karvan FK vs Sumqayıt?
Karvan FK score 0.76 goals per game on average and Sumqayıt 1.41. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Karvan FK's matches and 53% of Sumqayıt's.
What form are Karvan FK and Sumqayıt in?
Over the last 5 games Karvan FK have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Sumqayıt 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Karvan FK vs Sumqayıt?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.