Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük: match statistics
Kasımpaşa, despite poor form and no home wins this season, appears to be the favorite in this match. Fatih Karagümrük displays a disastrous away form with 80% losses and a goal difference of -12, without keeping a single clean sheet. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match, which, given the opponent's xG of 1.73, indicates serious defensive issues. Kasımpaşa boasts a better xG in home matches (1.34 vs 1.19 for the visitors) and higher ball possession, which should translate into control of the match. Although the hosts have not won their last five matches, facing the league's weakest away team provides a real opportunity to break that streak. A draw is also likely due to Kasımpaşa's high percentage of points shared at home (50%), but Fatih Karagümrük's weakness points to a home win.
Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kasımpaşa played Fatih Karagümrük in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 16 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Kasımpaşa: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Fatih Karagümrük: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kasımpaşa scores 0.76 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Fatih Karagümrük scores 0.86 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kasımpaşa 52%, Fatih Karagümrük 48%. Over 2.5: Kasımpaşa 43%, Fatih Karagümrük 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Fatih Karagümrük has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.13. Kasımpaşa: 10.4 shots per match, Fatih Karagümrük: 10.8.
Match halves
Kasımpaşa: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.48. Fatih Karagümrük: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Kasımpaşa: 61-75 (5 goals). Fatih Karagümrük: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kasımpaşa, despite poor form and no home wins this season, appears to be the favorite in this match. Fatih Karagümrük displays a disastrous away form with 80% losses and a goal difference of -12, without keeping a single clean sheet. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match, which, given the opponent's xG of 1.73, indicates serious defensive issues. Kasımpaşa boasts a better xG in home matches (1.34 vs 1.19 for the visitors) and higher ball possession, which should translate into control of the match. Although the hosts have not won their last five matches, facing the league's weakest away team provides a real opportunity to break that streak. A draw is also likely due to Kasımpaşa's high percentage of points shared at home (50%), but Fatih Karagümrük's weakness points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kasımpaşa | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fatih Karagümrük is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Kasımpaşa · 0.6 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fatih Karagümrük is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.76 goals / match - Kasımpaşa · 0.86 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Kasımpaşa is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Kasımpaşa · 1.86 goals / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Kasımpaşa scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Fatih Karagümrük keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
Fatih Karagümrük scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Kasımpaşa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kasımpaşa
Over / Under - Fatih Karagümrük
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fatih Karagümrük is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Kasımpaşa · 0.9 pts / match - Fatih Karagümrük
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kasımpaşa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fatih Karagümrük - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kasımpaşa
Fatih Karagümrük
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Kasımpaşa | Liga | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.65 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 57% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 69% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kasımpaşa 1 - 0 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük?
The Süper Lig match finished Kasımpaşa 3:2 Fatih Karagümrük. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Kasımpaşa score 0.76 goals per game on average and Fatih Karagümrük 0.86. The Süper Lig average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Kasımpaşa's matches and 48% of Fatih Karagümrük's.
What form are Kasımpaşa and Fatih Karagümrük in?
Over the last 5 games Kasımpaşa have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fatih Karagümrük 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.