Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor: match statistics
Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kasımpaşa play Kocaelispor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match date is 3 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Kasımpaşa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kocaelispor: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kasımpaşa scores 0.97 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Kocaelispor scores 0.76 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kasımpaşa 53%, Kocaelispor 38%. Over 2.5: Kasımpaşa 44%, Kocaelispor 26%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Kocaelispor has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.06. Kasımpaşa: 9.6 shots per match, Kocaelispor: 10.2.
Match halves
Kasımpaşa: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.53. Kocaelispor: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Kasımpaşa: 61-75 (8 goals). Kocaelispor: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Kasımpaşa holds a clear statistical advantage going into this match: in the last 5 fixtures the home side scored 7 goals and recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (avg. 1.4 points per game), whereas Kocaelispor scored only 2 goals in the same period and failed to win (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses; avg. 0.6 points per game). At home Kasımpaşa averages 0.87 goals per game with an xG of 1.26 and 3.13 shots on target per match, while Kocaelispor away averages 0.67 goals, xG 0.98 and 2.4 shots on target, indicating higher quality chances for the hosts. Defensively the hosts also look better — they concede 1.2 goals on average at home versus 1.53 conceded by the visitors on the road, keep clean sheets in 33% of home matches versus 20% for the away side, and have a superior goal difference (-5 vs -13), which reduces the likelihood of a Kasımpaşa defeat. Additionally, Kocaelispor struggle with efficiency away: they fail to score in 53% of away matches and have only 2 goals in the last 5 fixtures, which significantly limits their chances of winning. Based on this I assess the probability of a home win at 60%, draw 25% and away win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kasımpaşa | Kocaelispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kasımpaşa is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kasımpaşa · 0.4 pts / match - Kocaelispor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kasımpaşa is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Kasımpaşa · 0.76 goals / match - Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Kasımpaşa · 1.12 goals / match - Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Kocaelispor keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Kocaelispor scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Kasımpaşa keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kasımpaşa
Over / Under — Kocaelispor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kocaelispor is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Kasımpaşa · 1.15 pts / match - Kocaelispor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kasımpaşa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kocaelispor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Kasımpaşa | Liga | Kocaelispor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.65 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 79% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kasımpaşa 0 - 1 - 0 Kocaelispor. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor?
The Süper Lig match finished Kasımpaşa 1:1 Kocaelispor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor?
Kasımpaşa score 0.97 goals per game on average and Kocaelispor 0.76. The Süper Lig average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kasımpaşa's matches and 38% of Kocaelispor's.
What form are Kasımpaşa and Kocaelispor in?
Over the last 5 games Kasımpaşa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kocaelispor 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.