Türkiye - Süper LigRecep Tayyip Erdoğan StadyumuData current as of 17 October 2026

Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kasımpaşa play Samsunspor in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu.

Current form

Kasımpaşa: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Samsunspor: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kasımpaşa scores 1.14 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Samsunspor scores 0.86 and concedes 2.14. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kasımpaşa 71%, Samsunspor 29%. Over 2.5: Kasımpaşa 43%, Samsunspor 43%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

Samsunspor has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.18. Kasımpaşa: 11.4 shots per match, Samsunspor: 14.6.

Match halves

Kasımpaşa: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. Samsunspor: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

Kasımpaşa: 76-90+ (3 goals). Samsunspor: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Süper Lig: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.50)
(3.40)
(2.65)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

KasımpaşaSamsunspor
1.14Goals scored / match0.86
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
1.14Goals conceded / match2.14
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
41%Average possession57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
3.29Shots on target / match3.14
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.43Shots per match14.57
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
3.29Shots on target3.14
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
10%Shot conversion5.9%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
41%Possession57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
1.18xG for1.48
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
1.68xG against1.67
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

Shooting quality

Kasımpaşa: BalancedSamsunspor: Dominant
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
Accuracy (shots on target)29%22%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kasımpaşa
DDWDL
Season result split
29% W57% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-1
1.43 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Last 5 at home
0-3-0
DDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Samsunspor
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
14% W14% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-5
0.57 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
WLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kasımpaşa is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Kasımpaşa · 0.86 goals / match - Samsunspor

Kasımpaşa is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Kasımpaşa · 2.14 goals / match - Samsunspor

Kasımpaşa scoring profile: very strong

Kasımpaşa scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Samsunspor keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Samsunspor scoring profile: mixed

Samsunspor scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Kasımpaşa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

8Goals scored (season)6
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
8Goals conceded (season)15
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
2.29Average goals in match3
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
6Goals scored (last 5)1
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
7Goals conceded (last 5)12
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal43%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
29%2 goals29%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%3 goals14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%4 goals0%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal86%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
29%2 goals57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
14%3 goals43%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%4 goals14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%BTTS in both halves14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
14%Scored in both halves29%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
80%BTTS - last 520%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time43%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kasımpaşa is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Kasımpaşa · 0.86 pts / match - Samsunspor

Kasımpaşa - half-time state
29% leading14% draw57% trailing
Samsunspor - half-time state
29% leading0% draw71% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)0.86
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.57
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)1.43
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0.86Average goals (1st half)2
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
43%Clean sheet before half-time14%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
71%No goal before half-time57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per match (2nd half)0.86
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
71%Clean sheet after half-time57%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor
29%No goal after half-time71%
KasımpaşaSamsunspor

Kasımpaşa - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Samsunspor - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding48%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kasımpaşa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Samsunspor - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.000.60
Goals scored / match0.20.0
Goals conceded / match1.80.6
Average goals in match2.00.6
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet0%60%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-8-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kasımpaşa
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Samsunspor
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-81%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kasımpaşa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Samsunspor

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
129%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).

Teams vs league

KasımpaşaLigaSamsunspor
Average goals in match▼ 2.292.94• 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 71%45%▼ 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%59%▼ 43%
Clean sheets• 29%30%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%77%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%81%▼ 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Kasımpaşa 0 - 1 - 1 Samsunspor. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Kasimpasa
0 : 1
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
0 : 0
Kasimpasa

FAQ

When do Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor play?

Kasımpaşa face Samsunspor on 18 October 2026 in Süper Lig at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 0, Samsunspor won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?

Kasımpaşa score 1.14 goals per game on average and Samsunspor 0.86. The Süper Lig average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Kasımpaşa's matches and 29% of Samsunspor's.

What form are Kasımpaşa and Samsunspor in?

Over the last 5 games Kasımpaşa have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Samsunspor 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.