Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka: match statistics
Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kashima Antlers played Gamba Osaka in J1 League (Japan). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Kashima Soccer Stadium. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Kashima Antlers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Gamba Osaka: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kashima Antlers scores 2.13 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Gamba Osaka scores 1.00 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kashima Antlers 75%, Gamba Osaka 50%. Over 2.5: Kashima Antlers 75%, Gamba Osaka 38%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Kashima Antlers has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.50. Kashima Antlers: 16.5 shots per match, Gamba Osaka: 14.1.
Match halves
Kashima Antlers: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.50. Gamba Osaka: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Kashima Antlers: 76-90+ (6 goals). Gamba Osaka: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kashima Antlers have a clear home advantage: they have won 67% of their home matches, while Gamba Osaka have yet to win away from home. The hosts average 1.67 goals per home game with an 11% shot-conversion rate, while the visitors score 1 goal away from home at a 6% rate. In addition, Gamba concede an average of 2 goals on the road, and their opponents create chances worth 2.06 xG against them, boosting Kashima’s chances of scoring. Both teams have been inconsistent over their last five matches: Kashima have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, while Gamba have 2 wins and 3 losses. Home advantage and greater finishing efficiency point to a Kashima win, although their average of 1.33 goals conceded at home gives the visitors a chance to respond.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Recent form supports BTTS - Yes: Kashima averaged 2.8 goals across five matches, while Gamba averaged 2.6, having conceded 1.6 and 1.8 goals respectively. Kashima recorded BTTS in 80% of its matches over this period, compared with just 40% for Gamba, so the signal is not conclusive. Both teams create chances: their average xG stands at 1.43 for the hosts and 1.58 for the visitors, while their opponents’ average xG conceded is 1.76 and 2.06 respectively. Caution is warranted because Kashima have failed to score in 75% of their home matches so far, while Gamba have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home. Therefore, both teams scoring looks slightly more likely, although the risk that either side fails to score remains significant.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Across their last 5 matches, Kashima games averaged 4.4 goals, with Gamba’s matches recording a similar average; Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 60% of those games, respectively. Both teams scored freely during this period — Kashima netting 14 goals and Gamba 13 — while conceding 8 and 9, respectively. The home side averages 1.43 xG, while the visitors concede chances worth an average of 2.06 xG, pointing to goals from Kashima. Meanwhile, Gamba averages 1.58 xG per match, while Kashima allows chances worth an average of 1.76 xG. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick, as this line was cleared in 100% of Gamba’s away matches, although in only 50% of Kashima’s home games.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is for Kashima Antlers to take the lead at the break and hold on to it until the final whistle. In their last five matches, the hosts have averaged 1.4 first-half goals, compared with 0.6 for Gamba Osaka; moreover, the visitors had not led at half-time in any of the four matches included in the season data. Gamba’s defence also supports the case for Kashima to maintain their lead, having conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match and allowed opponents an xG of 2.06, compared with 1.5 goals and 1.76 xG for Kashima. However, the risk of a turnaround remains significant: Gamba have averaged 2.0 goals after half-time in their last five matches, so the 1/1 outcome has only a narrow edge over the alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kashima Antlers | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kashima Antlers is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Kashima Antlers · 0.4 pts / match - Gamba Osaka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kashima Antlers is 113% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - Kashima Antlers · 1 goals / match - Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Kashima Antlers · 1.75 goals / match - Gamba Osaka
Kashima Antlers scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Gamba Osaka keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Gamba Osaka scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Kashima Antlers keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kashima Antlers
Over / Under - Gamba Osaka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kashima Antlers is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Kashima Antlers · 0.88 pts / match - Gamba Osaka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kashima Antlers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gamba Osaka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kashima Antlers
Gamba Osaka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Kashima Antlers | Liga | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.13 | 2.96 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 54% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 88% | • 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kashima Antlers 1 - 1 - 0 Gamba Osaka. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka?
The J1 League match finished Kashima Antlers 2:0 Gamba Osaka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kashima Antlers and Gamba Osaka?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kashima Antlers won 1, Gamba Osaka won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka?
Kashima Antlers score 2.13 goals per game on average and Gamba Osaka 1.00. The J1 League average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Kashima Antlers's matches and 50% of Gamba Osaka's.
What form are Kashima Antlers and Gamba Osaka in?
Over the last 5 games Kashima Antlers have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gamba Osaka 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka?
The statistical background for Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.