Japan - J1 LeagueKashima Soccer StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki: match statistics

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Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kashima Antlers play V-Varen Nagasaki in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Current form

Kashima Antlers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kashima Antlers scores 2.11 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.22 and concedes 1.78. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kashima Antlers 67%, V-Varen Nagasaki 67%. Over 2.5: Kashima Antlers 67%, V-Varen Nagasaki 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Kashima Antlers has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.27. Kashima Antlers: 16.2 shots per match, V-Varen Nagasaki: 11.4.

Match halves

Kashima Antlers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.44. V-Varen Nagasaki: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Kashima Antlers: 76-90+ (6 goals). V-Varen Nagasaki: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J1 League: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.52)
(4.47)
(6.05)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
2.11Goals scored / match1.22
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1.78Goals conceded / match1.78
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
58%Average possession45%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
4.44Shots on target / match3.89
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.22Shots per match11.44
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
4.44Shots on target3.89
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
13%Shot conversion10.7%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
58%Possession45%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1.76xG for1.27
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1.37xG against1.68
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

Shooting quality

Kashima Antlers: DominantV-Varen Nagasaki: Balanced
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
Accuracy (shots on target)27%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

V-Varen Nagasaki is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Kashima Antlers · 1.2 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Kashima Antlers
LLLDW
Season result split
56% W11% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-3
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
V-Varen Nagasaki
DLWDD
Season result split
22% W33% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kashima Antlers is 73% better for: goals scored per match.

2.11 goals / match - Kashima Antlers · 1.22 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Kashima Antlers scoring profile: very strong

Kashima Antlers scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

V-Varen Nagasaki scoring profile: very strong

V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Kashima Antlers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).

19Goals scored (season)11
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
16Goals conceded (season)16
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
3.89Average goals in match3
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
8Goals scored (last 5)7
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal78%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
78%2 goals44%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
33%3 goals0%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
11%4 goals0%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal89%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
56%2 goals44%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
33%3 goals33%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
11%4 goals11%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
33%BTTS in both halves0%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
67%Scored in both halves11%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
60%BTTS - last 580%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
56%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kashima Antlers is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Kashima Antlers · 1.22 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki

Kashima Antlers - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
V-Varen Nagasaki - half-time state
33% leading22% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.22
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1.44Average goals (1st half)1.11
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
44%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
33%No goal before half-time67%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

After half-time (2nd half)

1.78Points per match (2nd half)0.89
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.11
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
2.44Average goals (2nd half)1.89
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
33%Clean sheet after half-time22%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki
11%No goal after half-time44%
Kashima AntlersV-Varen Nagasaki

Kashima Antlers - second-half results

44% W44% D11% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results

22% W22% D56% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kashima Antlers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
V-Varen Nagasaki - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kashima Antlers
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
6
46-60
3
0
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

V-Varen Nagasaki
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
0
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kashima Antlers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.98
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

V-Varen Nagasaki

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Kashima AntlersLigaV-Varen Nagasaki
Average goals in match▲ 3.892.91• 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 67%59%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%53%▲ 56%
Clean sheets• 22%23%▼ 11%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%68%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time• 89%88%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Kashima Antlers and V-Varen Nagasaki play?

Kashima Antlers face V-Varen Nagasaki on 17 October 2026 in J1 League at Kashima Soccer Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Kashima Antlers score 2.11 goals per game on average and V-Varen Nagasaki 1.22. The J1 League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Kashima Antlers's matches and 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki's.

What form are Kashima Antlers and V-Varen Nagasaki in?

Over the last 5 games Kashima Antlers have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and V-Varen Nagasaki 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.