Japan - J1 LeagueSANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kashiwa Reysol play Nagoya Grampus in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium.

Current form

Kashiwa Reysol: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Nagoya Grampus: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kashiwa Reysol scores 2.33 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Nagoya Grampus scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.91 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kashiwa Reysol 67%, Nagoya Grampus 56%. Over 2.5: Kashiwa Reysol 67%, Nagoya Grampus 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Kashiwa Reysol has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.53. Kashiwa Reysol: 15.4 shots per match, Nagoya Grampus: 13.8.

Match halves

Kashiwa Reysol: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.78. Nagoya Grampus: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Kashiwa Reysol: 61-75 (7 goals). Nagoya Grampus: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J1 League: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.62)
(4.31)
(5.03)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
2.33Goals scored / match1
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
1.56Goals conceded / match1.67
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
58%Average possession59%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
5.44Shots on target / match3.78
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.44Shots per match13.78
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
5.44Shots on target3.78
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
15.1%Shot conversion7.3%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
58%Possession59%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
1.75xG for1.53
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
1.22xG against1.46
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

Shooting quality

Kashiwa Reysol: DominantNagoya Grampus: Balanced
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
Accuracy (shots on target)35%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kashiwa Reysol is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Kashiwa Reysol · 0.6 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus

Kashiwa Reysol
LLWWW
Season result split
78% W0% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-0-2
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Nagoya Grampus
LLLLW
Season result split
33% W0% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kashiwa Reysol is 133% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Kashiwa Reysol · 1 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus

Kashiwa Reysol is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Kashiwa Reysol · 1.67 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus

Kashiwa Reysol scoring profile: very strong

Kashiwa Reysol scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

Nagoya Grampus scoring profile: very strong

Nagoya Grampus scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Kashiwa Reysol keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

21Goals scored (season)9
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
14Goals conceded (season)15
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
3.89Average goals in match2.67
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
11Goals scored (last 5)3
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
10Goals conceded (last 5)10
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal56%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
67%2 goals33%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
56%3 goals11%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
33%4 goals0%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal100%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
67%2 goals44%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
0%3 goals22%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
0%4 goals0%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time33%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
33%Scored in both halves33%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
60%BTTS - last 540%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
44%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kashiwa Reysol is 118% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.22 pts / match - Kashiwa Reysol · 0.56 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus

Kashiwa Reysol - half-time state
33% leading22% draw44% trailing
Nagoya Grampus - half-time state
0% leading56% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.22Points per match (1st half)0.56
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
1.22Average goals (1st half)1.11
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
44%Clean sheet before half-time22%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
56%No goal before half-time67%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.22
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
1.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
2.67Average goals (2nd half)1.56
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
33%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
33%No goal after half-time44%
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus

Kashiwa Reysol - second-half results

67% W0% D33% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding236%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nagoya Grampus - second-half results

33% W22% D44% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.56
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kashiwa Reysol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.22.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.23.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Nagoya Grampus - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.60
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kashiwa Reysol
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
7
2
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Nagoya Grampus
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.28
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kashiwa Reysol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Nagoya Grampus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Kashiwa ReysolLigaNagoya Grampus
Average goals in match▲ 3.892.91▼ 2.67
Both teams scored▲ 67%59%▼ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%53%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 11%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%68%▲ 78%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%• 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Kashiwa Reysol 2 - 0 - 0 Nagoya Grampus. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 2
Kashiwa Reysol

FAQ

When do Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus play?

Kashiwa Reysol face Nagoya Grampus on 17 October 2026 in J1 League at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kashiwa Reysol won 2, Nagoya Grampus won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kashiwa Reysol score 2.33 goals per game on average and Nagoya Grampus 1.00. The J1 League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Kashiwa Reysol's matches and 56% of Nagoya Grampus's.

What form are Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus in?

Over the last 5 games Kashiwa Reysol have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nagoya Grampus 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.