Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 02 November 2026

Kataka vs URA: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kataka vs URA: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kataka play URA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 4 November 2026.

Current form

Kataka: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. URA: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kataka scores 0.78 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. URA scores 0.88 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kataka 67%, URA 38%. Over 2.5: Kataka 67%, URA 38%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

URA has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.09. Kataka: 5.1 shots per match, URA: 5.3.

Match halves

Kataka: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.44. URA: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Kataka: 31-45+ (2 goals). URA: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.19 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.78Goals scored / match0.88
KatakaURA
2.33Goals conceded / match1.25
KatakaURA
47%Average possession55%
KatakaURA
3Shots on target / match2.75
KatakaURA

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.11Shots per match5.25
KatakaURA
3Shots on target2.75
KatakaURA
15.2%Shot conversion16.7%
KatakaURA
47%Possession55%
KatakaURA
1.09xG for1.16
KatakaURA
1.66xG against1.24
KatakaURA

Shooting quality

Kataka: Counter-attackingURA: Efficient finishing
KatakaURA
Accuracy (shots on target)59%52%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.210.22
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

URA is 600% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Kataka · 1.4 pts / match - URA

Kataka
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W33% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-6
0.33 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
URA
LDLWW
Season result split
38% W13% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-4
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 away
2-0-2
WLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

URA is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

0.78 goals / match - Kataka · 0.88 goals / match - URA

URA is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.33 goals / match - Kataka · 1.25 goals / match - URA

Kataka scoring profile: strong

Kataka scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while URA keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

URA scoring profile: very strong

URA scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Kataka keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

7Goals scored (season)7
KatakaURA
21Goals conceded (season)10
KatakaURA
3.11Average goals in match2.13
KatakaURA
5Goals scored (last 5)4
KatakaURA
15Goals conceded (last 5)4
KatakaURA

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal63%
KatakaURA
11%2 goals25%
KatakaURA
0%3 goals0%
KatakaURA
0%4 goals0%
KatakaURA

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal63%
KatakaURA
67%2 goals25%
KatakaURA
33%3 goals25%
KatakaURA
33%4 goals13%
KatakaURA

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time25%
KatakaURA
0%BTTS in both halves13%
KatakaURA
0%Scored in both halves13%
KatakaURA

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
KatakaURA
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
KatakaURA
80%BTTS - last 520%
KatakaURA

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
KatakaURA
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
KatakaURA
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
KatakaURA

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
KatakaURA
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
KatakaURA
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
KatakaURA

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kataka - half-time state
11% leading44% draw44% trailing
URA - half-time state
13% leading38% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.78Points per match (1st half)0.75
KatakaURA
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.38
KatakaURA
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
KatakaURA
1Average goals (1st half)1.25
KatakaURA
44%Clean sheet before half-time50%
KatakaURA
78%No goal before half-time63%
KatakaURA

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per match (2nd half)1.25
KatakaURA
0.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
KatakaURA
1.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
KatakaURA
2.11Average goals (2nd half)0.88
KatakaURA
11%Clean sheet after half-time63%
KatakaURA
56%No goal after half-time63%
KatakaURA

Kataka - second-half results

0% W33% D67% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

URA - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding292%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kataka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.82.2
Average goals in match1.22.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2-8
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
URA - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kataka
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
6
46-60
0
3
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

URA
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.62
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
120%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kataka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.98
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
68%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
224%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

URA

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

KatakaLigaURA
Average goals in match▲ 3.112.19• 2.13
Both teams scored▲ 67%41%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%41%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▼ 11%37%• 38%
Goal before half-time▼ 56%61%▲ 63%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%68%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.19
Average goals per match
41%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.15
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Kataka and URA play?

Kataka face URA on 4 November 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kataka vs URA?

Kataka score 0.78 goals per game on average and URA 0.88. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Kataka's matches and 38% of URA's.

What form are Kataka and URA in?

Over the last 5 games Kataka have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and URA 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kataka vs URA?

The statistical background for Kataka vs URA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.