Katsina United vs Abia Warriors: match statistics
Katsina United displays impressive home form with a 55% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6) at their stadium. The hosts average 1.18 goals per home game with only 27% of matches failing to score, indicating solid offensive efficiency. Abia Warriors, despite a higher table position (4th place), show significant problems in away matches – 55% losses, 0% draws, and only 0.64 goals scored on average away from home. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-3) and high FTS% (45%) confirm their difficulties in scoring on the road. Considering Katsina United's home advantage and Abia Warriors' poor away form, the hosts have a realistic chance of securing three points, although the visitors' experience and overall form (1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches) could make this a tight encounter.
Katsina United vs Abia Warriors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Katsina United played Abia Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Katsina United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Abia Warriors: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Katsina United scores 0.78 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Abia Warriors scores 0.87 and concedes 0.65. League average: 1.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Katsina United 30%, Abia Warriors 26%. Over 2.5: Katsina United 13%, Abia Warriors 13%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Abia Warriors has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.12. Katsina United: 4.1 shots per match, Abia Warriors: 7.2.
Match halves
Katsina United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.35. Abia Warriors: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Katsina United: 31-45+ (5 goals). Abia Warriors: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.83 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Katsina United displays impressive home form with a 55% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6) at their stadium. The hosts average 1.18 goals per home game with only 27% of matches failing to score, indicating solid offensive efficiency. Abia Warriors, despite a higher table position (4th place), show significant problems in away matches – 55% losses, 0% draws, and only 0.64 goals scored on average away from home. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-3) and high FTS% (45%) confirm their difficulties in scoring on the road. Considering Katsina United's home advantage and Abia Warriors' poor away form, the hosts have a realistic chance of securing three points, although the visitors' experience and overall form (1.6 PPG in the last 5 matches) could make this a tight encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Katsina United | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.62 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Abia Warriors is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Katsina United · 1.6 pts / match - Abia Warriors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Abia Warriors is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Katsina United · 0.87 goals / match - Abia Warriors
Abia Warriors is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Katsina United · 0.65 goals / match - Abia Warriors
Katsina United scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 52% (12 of 23 matches).
Abia Warriors scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Katsina United
Over / Under - Abia Warriors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Katsina United is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Katsina United · 1.39 pts / match - Abia Warriors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Katsina United
Abia Warriors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Katsina United | Liga | Abia Warriors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.65 | 1.83 | ▼ 1.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 36% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 26% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 60% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 70% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Katsina United 0 - 0 - 1 Abia Warriors. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Katsina United vs Abia Warriors?
The NPFL match finished Katsina United 2:0 Abia Warriors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Katsina United vs Abia Warriors?
Katsina United score 0.78 goals per game on average and Abia Warriors 0.87. The NPFL average is 1.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Katsina United's matches and 26% of Abia Warriors's.
What form are Katsina United and Abia Warriors in?
Over the last 5 games Katsina United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Abia Warriors 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Katsina United vs Abia Warriors?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Katsina United vs Abia Warriors: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.