Katsina United vs Kwara United: match statistics
Katsina United displays significantly better home form with an impressive record of 57% wins and 57% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +9 in home matches, while Kwara United records a disastrous away balance of -13. Particularly alarming for the visitors is the fact that they have not won a single away match this season (0% win rate) and failed to score in as many as 71% of their away fixtures. Kwara United loses 71% of their away games, which, combined with the hosts' solid form, makes their chances of a favorable result minimal. The xG statistics also favor Katsina United (1.27 vs 0.92), confirming their qualitative superiority in this encounter.
Katsina United vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Katsina United played Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Katsina United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kwara United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Katsina United scores 0.78 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Kwara United scores 0.79 and concedes 0.89. League average: 1.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Katsina United 26%, Kwara United 32%. Over 2.5: Katsina United 11%, Kwara United 18%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Katsina United has higher xG: 1.08 vs 1.06. Katsina United: 3.5 shots per match, Kwara United: 4.1.
Match halves
Katsina United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.41. Kwara United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Katsina United: 46-60 (6 goals). Kwara United: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Katsina United displays significantly better home form with an impressive record of 57% wins and 57% clean sheets at their own stadium. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +9 in home matches, while Kwara United records a disastrous away balance of -13. Particularly alarming for the visitors is the fact that they have not won a single away match this season (0% win rate) and failed to score in as many as 71% of their away fixtures. Kwara United loses 71% of their away games, which, combined with the hosts' solid form, makes their chances of a favorable result minimal. The xG statistics also favor Katsina United (1.27 vs 0.92), confirming their qualitative superiority in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Katsina United | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.78 | 0.69 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Katsina United is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Katsina United · 1 pts / match - Kwara United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Katsina United is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Katsina United · 0.89 goals / match - Kwara United
Katsina United scores in 52% of matches (14 of 27 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
Kwara United scores in 50% of matches (14 of 28 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Katsina United
Over / Under - Kwara United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Katsina United is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Katsina United · 1.29 pts / match - Kwara United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Katsina United
Kwara United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Katsina United | Liga | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.59 | 1.84 | ▼ 1.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 36% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | • 37% | 38% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 70% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Katsina United 0 - 0 - 1 Kwara United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Katsina United vs Kwara United?
The NPFL match finished Katsina United 1:2 Kwara United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Katsina United vs Kwara United?
Katsina United score 0.78 goals per game on average and Kwara United 0.79. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Katsina United's matches and 32% of Kwara United's.
What form are Katsina United and Kwara United in?
Over the last 5 games Katsina United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kwara United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Katsina United vs Kwara United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.