Katsina United vs Nasarawa United: match statistics
Katsina United displays impressive home form with a 58% win rate and a +8 goal difference, which provides a solid basis for predicting their success. The hosts stand out with their offensive efficiency at home, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per match with a 50% clean sheet rate, indicating defensive stability. Nasarawa United, despite their higher league position (3rd place), shows poor away form with only a 25% win rate on the road and a -4 goal difference, as well as a high rate of 58% matches without scoring away from home. The recent form of both teams favors the visitors (5 matches undefeated), however, their efficiency issues in away matches and Katsina United's home dominance tip the scales. Taking all factors into account, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Nasarawa United's solid defense.
Katsina United vs Nasarawa United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Katsina United played Nasarawa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Katsina United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Nasarawa United: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Katsina United scores 0.83 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Nasarawa United scores 0.96 and concedes 0.76. League average: 1.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Katsina United 29%, Nasarawa United 40%. Over 2.5: Katsina United 13%, Nasarawa United 28%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Nasarawa United has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.12. Katsina United: 3.9 shots per match, Nasarawa United: 9.1.
Match halves
Katsina United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.42. Nasarawa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Katsina United: 46-60 (6 goals). Nasarawa United: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.82 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Katsina United displays impressive home form with a 58% win rate and a +8 goal difference, which provides a solid basis for predicting their success. The hosts stand out with their offensive efficiency at home, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per match with a 50% clean sheet rate, indicating defensive stability. Nasarawa United, despite their higher league position (3rd place), shows poor away form with only a 25% win rate on the road and a -4 goal difference, as well as a high rate of 58% matches without scoring away from home. The recent form of both teams favors the visitors (5 matches undefeated), however, their efficiency issues in away matches and Katsina United's home dominance tip the scales. Taking all factors into account, I expect a home win, although a draw also remains a realistic scenario due to Nasarawa United's solid defense.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Katsina United | Nasarawa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.71 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nasarawa United is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Katsina United · 1.8 pts / match - Nasarawa United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nasarawa United is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Katsina United · 0.96 goals / match - Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Katsina United · 0.76 goals / match - Nasarawa United
Katsina United scores in 54% of matches (13 of 24 matches), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Nasarawa United scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Katsina United
Over / Under - Nasarawa United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Katsina United is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Katsina United · 1.24 pts / match - Nasarawa United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Katsina United
Nasarawa United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Katsina United | Liga | Nasarawa United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 1.82 | ▼ 1.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 39% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Katsina United 0 - 0 - 1 Nasarawa United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?
The NPFL match finished Katsina United 1:0 Nasarawa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?
Katsina United score 0.83 goals per game on average and Nasarawa United 0.96. The NPFL average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Katsina United's matches and 40% of Nasarawa United's.
What form are Katsina United and Nasarawa United in?
Over the last 5 games Katsina United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nasarawa United 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Katsina United vs Nasarawa United?
The statistical background for Katsina United vs Nasarawa United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.