Kauno Žalgiris vs FA Šiauliai: match statistics
Kauno Žalgiris vs FA Šiauliai: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kauno Žalgiris played FA Šiauliai in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Kauno Žalgiris: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. FA Šiauliai: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kauno Žalgiris scores 2.54 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. FA Šiauliai scores 0.85 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kauno Žalgiris 54%, FA Šiauliai 54%. Over 2.5: Kauno Žalgiris 77%, FA Šiauliai 46%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Kauno Žalgiris has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.42. Kauno Žalgiris: 14.6 shots per match, FA Šiauliai: 11.8.
Match halves
Kauno Žalgiris: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.23. FA Šiauliai: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Kauno Žalgiris: 31-45+ (10 goals). FA Šiauliai: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-1-0. Average goals 4.20, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kauno Žalgiris is the clear favorite: they sit 1st in the table and have scored 33 goals while conceding 10 this season, compared to FA Šiauliai’s 11 scored and 22 conceded. At home Žalgiris average 2.57 goals scored per match, 0.71 conceded and register 57% clean sheets, whereas visitors average only 0.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded with just 14% clean sheets on the road. Hosts generate xG 1.66 at home against xG conceded 1.00 and display superior shot efficiency (conversion 18% and 5.71 shots on target) versus the visitors who on the road have xG 1.48, conversion 7% and 4.86 shots on target. The last 5 matches show Žalgiris unbeaten (2W, 3D, PPG 1.8, 12 goals in last 5), while Šiauliai have a better recent points rate in their last 5 (PPG 2.0, 3W, 1D, 1L, 9 goals), but their away effectiveness is weaker (29% of away matches without scoring). Considering the goal advantage (33–11), better home defensive record (0.71 vs 1.29), higher possession (64% vs 49%) and 0% matches without a goal for the hosts, I predict a Kauno Žalgiris win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Analysis of the last five matches favors BTTS: both teams have a BTTS rate of 60% in their last 5 games, with Kauno Žalgiris averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, and FA Šiauliai averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Seasonal signals are mixed — home side has a season BTTS of 33% with average goals 0.83 scored and 2.17 conceded, while visitors have a season BTTS of 71% with averages 0.86 scored and 1.29 conceded. Recent xG supports both sides’ chances: home xG 1.95 per match vs 1.44 for the away side, and the away team concedes xG against 1.68 vs 0.98 for the home team; additionally average shots 10.67 vs 12.71 and shots on target 4.0 vs 4.86 show chance creation. Low clean sheet percentages seasonally (17% for home vs 14% for away) and a league BTTS rate of 48% reinforce the both-teams-to-score scenario. Considering stronger, consistent signals from the last 5 matches and mixed seasonal signals, I assess BTTS probability at 62% (Yes) vs 38% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on average xG and defensive parameters, I estimate 1.48 expected goals for Kauno Žalgiris and 1.48 for FA Šiauliai, totaling 2.96 goals: I calculated this as the average of the home attack (xG 1.35, 10.67 shots, 4.0 shots on target) and the away defense (xG conceded 1.61), and the away attack (xG 1.48, 12.71 shots, 4.86 shots on target) and the home defense (xG conceded 1.47). This total of 2.96 is above the league average of 2.58 and aligns with seasonal Over 1.5 indicators: home side have 83% of matches over 1.5, away side 71%, and the share of BTTS matches is 33% for hosts and 71% for visitors. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Kauno Žalgiris have scored on average 2.4 goals (12 goals in 5 matches), and FA Šiauliai 1.8 goals (9 goals), and the Over 2.5 rate in the last 5 is 80% and 60% respectively — which increases the likelihood of at least 3 goals. A Poisson model with combined λ=2.96 yields about an 80% probability for Over 1.5, about 57% for Over 2.5 and about 34% for Over 3.5. On this basis the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is the Over 1.5 bet, therefore I recommend the 1.5 line as the best choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 2/X: the away team leads at Half-Time and the match finishes as a draw. In the first half the visitors show a clear advantage in early goals — they scored 1 goal in 0–15' versus 0 for the home side (goals_scored_min_0_to_15_away = 1 vs goals_scored_min_0_to_15_home = 0) and the hosts typically concede 1.33 goals by Half-Time while scoring just 0.0 (concededAVGHT_home = 1.33 and scoredAVGHT_home = 0.0), which favors an away lead at the break. A draw at full-time is highly probable because the away team draws 71% of matches this season (drawPercentage_away = 71%) and the home team tends to mount late turnarounds — they scored 3 goals in 76–90' versus 1 for the visitors (goals_scored_min_76_to_90_home = 3 vs goals_scored_min_76_to_90_away = 1). Additionally, xG is similar (xg_for_avg_home = 1.35 vs xg_for_avg_away = 1.48) and the average second-half goals are higher for the home side (AVG_2hg_home = 1.67 vs AVG_2hg_away = 1.14), supporting a scenario of an early away lead and a late equalizer.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kauno Žalgiris | FA Šiauliai | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FA Šiauliai is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 1.4 pts / match - FA Šiauliai
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kauno Žalgiris is 199% better for: goals scored per match.
2.54 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 0.85 goals / match - FA Šiauliai
Kauno Žalgiris is 119% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 1.69 goals / match - FA Šiauliai
Kauno Žalgiris scores in 100% of matches (13 of 13 matches), while FA Šiauliai keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
FA Šiauliai scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Kauno Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kauno Žalgiris
Over / Under - FA Šiauliai
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kauno Žalgiris is 426% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 0.38 pts / match - FA Šiauliai
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kauno Žalgiris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FA Šiauliai - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kauno Žalgiris
FA Šiauliai
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Kauno Žalgiris | Liga | FA Šiauliai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.31 | 2.58 | • 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 48% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 32% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Kauno Žalgiris 4 - 1 - 0 FA Šiauliai. Average goals 4.20, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kauno Žalgiris vs FA Šiauliai?
The A Lyga match finished Kauno Žalgiris 0:0 FA Šiauliai. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kauno Žalgiris and FA Šiauliai?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Kauno Žalgiris won 4, FA Šiauliai won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kauno Žalgiris vs FA Šiauliai?
Kauno Žalgiris score 2.54 goals per game on average and FA Šiauliai 0.85. The A Lyga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Kauno Žalgiris's matches and 54% of FA Šiauliai's.
What form are Kauno Žalgiris and FA Šiauliai in?
Over the last 5 games Kauno Žalgiris have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and FA Šiauliai 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kauno Žalgiris vs FA Šiauliai?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


