Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius: match statistics
Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kauno Žalgiris played TransINVEST Vilnius in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Kauno Žalgiris: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. TransINVEST Vilnius: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kauno Žalgiris scores 2.88 and concedes 0.38 goals per match. TransINVEST Vilnius scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kauno Žalgiris 38%, TransINVEST Vilnius 50%. Over 2.5: Kauno Žalgiris 75%, TransINVEST Vilnius 63%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
TransINVEST Vilnius has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.67. Kauno Žalgiris: 13.6 shots per match, TransINVEST Vilnius: 14.6.
Match halves
Kauno Žalgiris: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.50. TransINVEST Vilnius: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Kauno Žalgiris: 31-45+ (7 goals). TransINVEST Vilnius: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kauno Žalgiris lead the table with a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses and a goal difference of 23:3, clearly ahead of TransINVEST who have 10 goals scored and 10 conceded. At home Kauno average 2.75 goals scored and 0.25 conceded per match, have clean sheets in 75% of games and have scored 18 goals in their last 5 fixtures; the visitors have 5 goals in their last 5 matches and on the road score 1.0 and concede 2.0 on average, with no clean sheets. Despite similar xG (home 1.63 vs away 1.68), the decisive factor is efficiency — Kauno’s conversion rate is 20% versus just 7% for TransINVEST, with the hosts averaging 6 shots on target versus 5.33 for the visitors. Kauno also post substantially higher home possession (62% vs 45%) and superior recent points form: 2.6 pts per game in the last 5 vs 1.4 pts for the opponents, while home goal difference is +10 compared to the visitors’ -3 on the road. Considering the advantage in efficiency, defense and goals, I estimate the probabilities as: home win 78%, draw 15%, away win 7%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Kauno Žalgiris has a very solid defense: conceding 0.8 goals per game on the season (3 goals in total) and keeping a clean sheet in 60% of matches, while in the last 5 games they scored 18 goals (avg. 3.6) and conceded only 1 (avg. 0.2). TransINVEST statistically participates in BTTS more often (67% on the season vs 40% for the home side) and concedes 2.0 goals per game on average; however, in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored only 1.0 goal and conceded 1.2 (5 scored, 6 conceded). xG shows similar expected goals (xG 1.69 for Kauno vs 1.68 for TransINVEST), but Kauno has a lower xG against (1.1 vs 1.35), which suggests they limit the opponent’s quality chances. Considering the home side’s 60% clean sheets, the recent 18–1 run across five matches, and the league’s high tendency for clean sheets (80%), it is more likely the match will finish No Goal (no BTTS). Therefore I recommend "No".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimates based on xG and team statistics give Kauno Žalgiris 1.52 expected goals (home xG 1.69 and visitors’ average xG conceded 1.35; (1.69+1.35)/2 = 1.52), and TransINVEST 1.39 (away xG 1.68 and home xG conceded 1.10; (1.68+1.10)/2 = 1.39), for a total of 2.91 goals. This is above the league average of 2.28 and consistent with seasonal over-2.5 rates: 60% for Kauno Žalgiris and 67% for TransINVEST, with the home side having 80% of their last 5 matches over 2.5. TransINVEST concedes 2.0 goals per game on average and has 67% BTTS rate, while Kauno Žalgiris generates a similar number of shots (14.6 vs 14.67) and has a higher conversion rate of 10% versus 7%, which increases the likelihood of goals. At a combined expected total of 2.91, a Poisson model yields about a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals, 56% for Over 2.5 goals and 33% for Over 3.5 goals, therefore the strongest signal from the data is backing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I project 1/1 (home leading at Half-Time and winning at Full-Time) as the most probable outcome with an estimated probability of 48%. In 4 of Kauno Žalgiris’s last 5 matches they led at the break (80%) and also won 4 of 5 (80%), and in those games they averaged 1.8 goals by Half-Time versus 0.4 for TransINVEST. Seasonally the hosts score on average 1.4 goals per match while the visitors concede 2.0 on average; xG is 1.69 versus 1.68 with the hosts showing the better defensive profile (xG conceded 1.10 versus 1.35 for the away side), which favors maintaining a lead at the break. Additionally, Kauno Žalgiris has a higher finishing rate (conversion 10% vs 7%) and has been stronger in the second half over the last 5 matches (averaging 2.0 goals in second halves), hence the dominance of the 1/1 scenario; alternatively I consider X/1 at 18% if the opening goal arrives late.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kauno Žalgiris | TransINVEST Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kauno Žalgiris is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 1.4 pts / match - TransINVEST Vilnius
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kauno Žalgiris is 130% better for: goals scored per match.
2.88 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 1.25 goals / match - TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris is 229% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.38 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 1.25 goals / match - TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while TransINVEST Vilnius keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
TransINVEST Vilnius scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Kauno Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kauno Žalgiris
Over / Under - TransINVEST Vilnius
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kauno Žalgiris is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.13 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris · 1.13 pts / match - TransINVEST Vilnius
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kauno Žalgiris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 88%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
TransINVEST Vilnius - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +9 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kauno Žalgiris
TransINVEST Vilnius
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Kauno Žalgiris | Liga | TransINVEST Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 2.21 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 40% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
The A Lyga match finished Kauno Žalgiris 1:2 TransINVEST Vilnius. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
Kauno Žalgiris score 2.88 goals per game on average and TransINVEST Vilnius 1.25. The A Lyga average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Kauno Žalgiris's matches and 50% of TransINVEST Vilnius's.
What form are Kauno Žalgiris and TransINVEST Vilnius in?
Over the last 5 games Kauno Žalgiris have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.