Kavala vs Asteras Tripolis II: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Kavala presents solid home form with 38% wins and only 25% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference (+2) in home matches. Asteras Tripolis II has identical away statistics (38% wins, 38% draws), however, a negative goal difference (-1) on the road. Both teams have a similar percentage of clean sheets (38%) and average goals conceded (1.13), suggesting defensive balance. The last five matches show a drop in form for both teams (Kavala: 1.4 PPG, Asteras II: 1.0 PPG), which further argues for a draw. Given the high draw rates in the hosts' home matches and the guests' away matches, the most likely result is a split of points.
Kavala vs Asteras Tripolis II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kavala played Asteras Tripolis II in Super League 2 (Greece). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Kavala: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Asteras Tripolis II: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kavala scores 0.88 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Asteras Tripolis II scores 1.41 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kavala 29%, Asteras Tripolis II 53%. Over 2.5: Kavala 29%, Asteras Tripolis II 41%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Asteras Tripolis II has higher xG: 1.29 vs 0.95. Kavala: 5.5 shots per match, Asteras Tripolis II: 9.0.
Match halves
Kavala: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.76. Asteras Tripolis II: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Kavala: 61-75 (5 goals). Asteras Tripolis II: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League 2: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Kavala presents solid home form with 38% wins and only 25% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference (+2) in home matches. Asteras Tripolis II has identical away statistics (38% wins, 38% draws), however, a negative goal difference (-1) on the road. Both teams have a similar percentage of clean sheets (38%) and average goals conceded (1.13), suggesting defensive balance. The last five matches show a drop in form for both teams (Kavala: 1.4 PPG, Asteras II: 1.0 PPG), which further argues for a draw. Given the high draw rates in the hosts' home matches and the guests' away matches, the most likely result is a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kavala | Asteras Tripolis II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kavala is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Kavala · 1 pts / match - Asteras Tripolis II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Asteras Tripolis II is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Kavala · 1.41 goals / match - Asteras Tripolis II
Asteras Tripolis II is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Kavala · 0.94 goals / match - Asteras Tripolis II
Kavala scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Asteras Tripolis II keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Asteras Tripolis II scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Kavala keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kavala
Over / Under - Asteras Tripolis II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Asteras Tripolis II is 135% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / match - Kavala · 1.53 pts / match - Asteras Tripolis II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kavala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Asteras Tripolis II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kavala
Asteras Tripolis II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League 2).
Teams vs league
| Kavala | Liga | Asteras Tripolis II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.12 | 2.29 | • 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 38% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 37% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 66% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KavalaGoalMark Sifneos
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kavala 0 - 0 - 1 Asteras Tripolis II. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kavala vs Asteras Tripolis II?
The Super League 2 match finished Kavala 1:1 Asteras Tripolis II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kavala vs Asteras Tripolis II?
Kavala score 0.88 goals per game on average and Asteras Tripolis II 1.41. The Super League 2 average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Kavala's matches and 53% of Asteras Tripolis II's.
What form are Kavala and Asteras Tripolis II in?
Over the last 5 games Kavala have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Asteras Tripolis II 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kavala vs Asteras Tripolis II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.