Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus: match statistics
Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kawasaki Frontale played Nagoya Grampus in J1 League (Japan). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Kawasaki Frontale: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nagoya Grampus: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kawasaki Frontale scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Nagoya Grampus scores 0.88 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kawasaki Frontale 88%, Nagoya Grampus 50%. Over 2.5: Kawasaki Frontale 63%, Nagoya Grampus 63%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Kawasaki Frontale has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.52. Kawasaki Frontale: 18.3 shots per match, Nagoya Grampus: 13.6.
Match halves
Kawasaki Frontale: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.13. Nagoya Grampus: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Kawasaki Frontale: 31-45+ (5 goals). Nagoya Grampus: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kawasaki Frontale have a clear edge in form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Nagoya Grampus have lost 4 of 5. At home, the hosts score an average of 3 goals and create chances worth 2.25 xG per match, while the visitors manage just 0.25 goals away from home despite recording 1.15 xG. The gap in attacking effectiveness is reflected in shots on target: Kawasaki average 8.25 at home, compared with just 1.5 for Nagoya away. The hosts’ defence is not watertight, conceding an average of 2 goals at home, but Nagoya have lost all 4 of their away matches so far and failed to score in 75% of them. These figures point to a Kawasaki win, although the number of goals they concede leaves some possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring is Nagoya’s poor attacking output: away from home, they average 0.25 goals and have failed to score in 75% of matches. The visitors average just 1.5 shots on target away, while Kawasaki record 5.75 at home and post an xG of 1.89 compared with Nagoya’s 1.15. Over their last 5 matches, Nagoya have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, which points more towards the hosts scoring than both teams finding the net. The risk to the BTTS - No pick is that Kawasaki have yet to keep a clean sheet at home, and both teams have scored in 75% of their home matches. Even so, Nagoya’s away-day struggles in front of goal support a result in which at least one team—most likely the visitors—fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: both teams have gone over this line in 75% of their matches so far. Kawasaki average 1.5 goals, while Nagoya concede 2.0, giving the hosts a good chance to score most of the goals needed to clear the line. The difference in chance quality supports this: Kawasaki have an xG of 1.89, while Nagoya concede an average of 1.64 xG. In their last five matches, Nagoya conceded an average of 2.0 goals, though they scored only 0.8 themselves, which makes higher goal lines less reliable. A forecast of 2.70 goals gives Over 1.5 a clearer betting edge than Over 2.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kawasaki were level at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Nagoya failed to score in the first half in any of the 4 matches included in the season statistics. Across the season, both teams went in at the break level in 50% of their matches, making a draw after 45 minutes more likely than an early lead for either side. After the break, the advantage should shift to the home side: in their last 5 matches, Kawasaki averaged 1.4 goals in the second half, while Nagoya conceded an average of 1.6. Kawasaki also have a higher average xG, 1.89 compared with 1.15, and register 5.75 shots on target per match against their opponents' 1.5. These differences, along with Nagoya's 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, provide the strongest support for a draw at half-time and a Kawasaki win at full-time in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kawasaki Frontale | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kawasaki Frontale is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Kawasaki Frontale · 0.6 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kawasaki Frontale is 127% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Kawasaki Frontale · 0.88 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus
Kawasaki Frontale is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Kawasaki Frontale · 1.75 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus
Kawasaki Frontale scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
Nagoya Grampus scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Kawasaki Frontale keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kawasaki Frontale
Over / Under - Nagoya Grampus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kawasaki Frontale is 226% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Kawasaki Frontale · 0.5 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kawasaki Frontale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nagoya Grampus - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kawasaki Frontale
Nagoya Grampus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Kawasaki Frontale | Liga | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 88% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 88% | • 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kawasaki Frontale 2 - 0 - 0 Nagoya Grampus. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
The J1 League match finished Kawasaki Frontale 1:2 Nagoya Grampus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kawasaki Frontale won 2, Nagoya Grampus won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
Kawasaki Frontale score 2.00 goals per game on average and Nagoya Grampus 0.88. The J1 League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 88% of Kawasaki Frontale's matches and 50% of Nagoya Grampus's.
What form are Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus in?
Over the last 5 games Kawasaki Frontale have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nagoya Grampus 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.