Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat: match statistics
Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kawkab Marrakech played FUS Rabat in Botola Pro (Morocco). The match was played on 25 June 2026. Venue: Stade de Marrakech. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Kawkab Marrakech: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. FUS Rabat: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kawkab Marrakech scores 0.88 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. FUS Rabat scores 1.08 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kawkab Marrakech 46%, FUS Rabat 54%. Over 2.5: Kawkab Marrakech 35%, FUS Rabat 31%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
FUS Rabat has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.34. Kawkab Marrakech: 11.2 shots per match, FUS Rabat: 10.7.
Match halves
Kawkab Marrakech: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.42. FUS Rabat: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Kawkab Marrakech: 76-90+ (9 goals). FUS Rabat: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Botola Pro: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The analytical favorite is Kawkab Marrakech, so I back the home win; they win 46% of home matches and have a positive home goal difference of +6, while FUS Rabat have a negative away goal difference (-2) and only 31% wins on the road. The home defense looks more solid — Kawkab concedes on average 0.85 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 38% of games, whereas FUS concede 1.31 goals away and have only 23% clean sheets. Offensively the hosts create more quality chances: Kawkab’s average xG at home is 1.44 with 4 shots on target and 11.9 total shots, while FUS have an away xG of 1.25 with 3.31 shots on target, suggesting a home advantage in chance creation. Against Kawkab counts a weaker recent form over the last 5 matches — only 1 win and 0.8 points per game, while FUS average 1.2 points in that sample (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss). Considering home effectiveness, the higher xG (1.44 vs 1.25) and better defensive metrics for the hosts, I assign 50% probability to a Kawkab win, 30% to a draw and 20% to a FUS victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Despite the home side's season BTTS rate of 62% (away 46%, league 50%), the hosts have had BTTS = 0% in their last 5 matches and have averaged only 0.4 goals per game, which is a strong argument against the "both teams to score" option. The visitors have a 40% BTTS in their last 5 and average 0.6 goals, while seasonally they score 1.15 and concede 1.31 goals per game, so their offense is moderate and not clearly dominant. xG analysis shows some potential (home season xG 1.52 vs opponents' xG against the visitors 1.37; away season xG 1.25 vs opponents' xG against the hosts 1.21), but in the last 5 matches the homes' xG was 1.41 with only 0.4 goals scored on average, and the visitors' xG was 1.63 with only 0.6 goals, indicating a significant finishing issue. Additionally, hosts average 4.23 shots on target vs 3.31 for visitors, but conversion rates are low (9% and 11%) and the league averages 2.13 goals per game, therefore I ultimately favor the "No" scenario (60%) over "Yes" (40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams frequently play matches with at least 2 goals – Kawkab 77% and FUS 69% – which strongly signals Over 1.5. An xG-based model shows 1.52 xG for Kawkab versus 1.37 xG conceded by FUS (expected 1.45 goals for the home side) and 1.25 xG for FUS with 1.21 xG conceded by Kawkab (expected 1.23 goals for the away side), total xG = 2.68, above the league average of 2.13. The Poisson distribution for λ=2.68 yields roughly a 75% chance of at least 2 goals and about 50% for 3+ goals, therefore Over 1.5 is the safest option while Over 2.5 is balanced. Additionally, Kawkab averages 4.23 shots on target per match versus 3.31 for FUS, with conversion rates of 9.0% (Kawkab) and 11.0% (FUS); both teams also have a significant share of BTTS matches (Kawkab 62%, FUS 46%), reinforcing the expectation of at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back a draw at Half-Time and a draw at Full-Time (X/X) because the home side draws in 46% of matches and are level at the break in 46% of games; in their last five outings the home team failed to score before half-time (0.0 average) while the visitors average 0.4 first-half goals. The hosts generate more chances (xG 1.52 vs 1.25 for the visitors and 4.23 shots on target vs 3.31) but lower finishing efficiency (9% vs 11%) limits goals, which favors low-scoring, drawn outcomes. After the break the visitors hold a moderate advantage (second-half ppg 1.23 vs 1.08 and second-half wins 31% vs 23%), so any decisive result would tend to favor the away side, but that does not eliminate a draw as the most common scenario. Consequently the clearest signal from the data is X/X (32%), with meaningful alternatives X/2 (18%) and 2/2 (13%) reflecting the visitors’ slight second-half edge.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kawkab Marrakech | FUS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FUS Rabat is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Kawkab Marrakech · 1.2 pts / match - FUS Rabat
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FUS Rabat is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Kawkab Marrakech · 1.08 goals / match - FUS Rabat
Kawkab Marrakech is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Kawkab Marrakech · 1.19 goals / match - FUS Rabat
Kawkab Marrakech scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while FUS Rabat keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
FUS Rabat scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Kawkab Marrakech keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kawkab Marrakech
Over / Under - FUS Rabat
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kawkab Marrakech - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FUS Rabat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kawkab Marrakech
FUS Rabat
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| Kawkab Marrakech | Liga | FUS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.81 | 2.13 | ▲ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 38% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 31% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kawkab Marrakech 0 - 1 - 0 FUS Rabat. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat?
The Botola Pro match finished Kawkab Marrakech 2:0 FUS Rabat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat?
Kawkab Marrakech score 0.88 goals per game on average and FUS Rabat 1.08. The Botola Pro average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Kawkab Marrakech's matches and 54% of FUS Rabat's.
What form are Kawkab Marrakech and FUS Rabat in?
Over the last 5 games Kawkab Marrakech have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and FUS Rabat 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kawkab Marrakech vs FUS Rabat?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.