KCB vs TransMara Sugar: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a leaning towards a draw scenario. KCB displays poor home form with just 25% wins at home and a goal difference of -3, conceding an average of 1.08 goals per match. TransMara Sugar stands out with an impressive away draw rate of 73%, suggesting a defensive approach and difficulty in beating them. Both teams have identical form in their last 5 matches (1.6 points per match) as well as a similar goal difference this season. TransMara boasts better offensive efficiency away from home (1.18 goals/match vs 0.83 for KCB at home), but the hosts have an advantage in ball possession (50% vs 43%). Considering the visitors' tendency to draw and the low effectiveness of the hosts in front of their own fans, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
KCB vs TransMara Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KCB play TransMara Sugar in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 18 March 2026 at 13:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
KCB: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. TransMara Sugar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
KCB scores 1.04 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. TransMara Sugar scores 0.93 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KCB 50%, TransMara Sugar 39%. Over 2.5: KCB 36%, TransMara Sugar 29%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
TransMara Sugar has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.53. KCB: 9.8 shots per match, TransMara Sugar: 11.3.
Match halves
KCB: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.14. TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.21.
Goals by minute
KCB: 0-15 (22 goals). TransMara Sugar: 0-15 (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a leaning towards a draw scenario. KCB displays poor home form with just 25% wins at home and a goal difference of -3, conceding an average of 1.08 goals per match. TransMara Sugar stands out with an impressive away draw rate of 73%, suggesting a defensive approach and difficulty in beating them. Both teams have identical form in their last 5 matches (1.6 points per match) as well as a similar goal difference this season. TransMara boasts better offensive efficiency away from home (1.18 goals/match vs 0.83 for KCB at home), but the hosts have an advantage in ball possession (50% vs 43%). Considering the visitors' tendency to draw and the low effectiveness of the hosts in front of their own fans, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KCB | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
TransMara Sugar is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - KCB · 1.6 pts / match - TransMara Sugar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCB is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - KCB · 0.93 goals / match - TransMara Sugar
TransMara Sugar is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - KCB · 0.89 goals / match - TransMara Sugar
KCB scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
TransMara Sugar scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while KCB keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — KCB
Over / Under — TransMara Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KCB is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - KCB · 0.93 pts / match - TransMara Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KCB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
TransMara Sugar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (22 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (20 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KCB
TransMara Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| KCB | Liga | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.11 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 33% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 36% | 36% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 18% | 21% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 18% | 22% | • 21% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KCB 1 - 0 - 0 TransMara Sugar. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KCB vs TransMara Sugar?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished KCB 1:0 TransMara Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KCB vs TransMara Sugar?
KCB score 1.04 goals per game on average and TransMara Sugar 0.93. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 50% of KCB's matches and 39% of TransMara Sugar's.
What form are KCB and TransMara Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games KCB have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and TransMara Sugar 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KCB vs TransMara Sugar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.