KCB vs Tusker: match statistics
Tusker presents significantly better form than KCB, earning 2.4 points per match in the last five games compared to 2.0 for the hosts. The visitors stand out with an impressive away defense, conceding an average of only 0.5 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 63% of away fixtures. KCB has poor efficiency at their home stadium with just 33% wins and a negative goal difference (-1). Tusker wins as many as 63% of their away matches and holds a positive goal difference (+4), which, combined with their current run of four victories in the last five matches, makes them the clear favorite in this clash.
KCB vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KCB played Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 20 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
KCB: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tusker: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
KCB scores 1.00 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Tusker scores 0.82 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KCB 41%, Tusker 35%. Over 2.5: KCB 29%, Tusker 29%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Tusker has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.42. KCB: 8.0 shots per match, Tusker: 11.9.
Match halves
KCB: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.24. Tusker: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
KCB: 0-15 (10 goals). Tusker: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.95 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tusker presents significantly better form than KCB, earning 2.4 points per match in the last five games compared to 2.0 for the hosts. The visitors stand out with an impressive away defense, conceding an average of only 0.5 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 63% of away fixtures. KCB has poor efficiency at their home stadium with just 33% wins and a negative goal difference (-1). Tusker wins as many as 63% of their away matches and holds a positive goal difference (+4), which, combined with their current run of four victories in the last five matches, makes them the clear favorite in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KCB | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KCB is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - KCB · 1.2 pts / match - Tusker
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCB is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - KCB · 0.82 goals / match - Tusker
KCB is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - KCB · 1 goals / match - Tusker
KCB scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Tusker scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while KCB keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KCB
Over / Under - Tusker
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KCB - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KCB
Tusker
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| KCB | Liga | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.94 | 1.95 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 42% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 31% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 37% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 29% | 32% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 29% | 35% | • 35% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KCB 1 - 0 - 0 Tusker. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KCB vs Tusker?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished KCB 1:2 Tusker. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KCB vs Tusker?
KCB score 1.00 goals per game on average and Tusker 0.82. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 41% of KCB's matches and 35% of Tusker's.
What form are KCB and Tusker in?
Over the last 5 games KCB have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tusker 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KCB vs Tusker?
The statistical background for KCB vs Tusker — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.