KCCA vs Express: match statistics
KCCA displays significantly higher form and efficiency in home matches, achieving an impressive 80% win rate and averaging 1.9 goals per game with only 0.8 conceded. The hosts sit 3rd in the table with a record of 12 wins this season, whereas Express, in 10th place, has not won a single away match this season (0% away win rate). The visitors have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 matches and are on a streak of 5 consecutive draws, indicating severe offensive issues (failing to score in 80% of their away games). The xG stats confirm KCCA's advantage (1.83 vs 1.28), and the hosts' average ball possession (58% vs 48%) along with shot quality (5.8 shots on target per game vs 3.11) further cement their status as favorites. Taking all these factors into account, a home victory is the most likely outcome for this fixture.
KCCA vs Express: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KCCA played Express in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 11 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
KCCA: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Express: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
KCCA scores 1.47 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Express scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KCCA 53%, Express 26%. Over 2.5: KCCA 53%, Express 32%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
KCCA has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.31. KCCA: 11.7 shots per match, Express: 8.5.
Match halves
KCCA: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.68. Express: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
KCCA: 31-45+ (6 goals). Express: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KCCA displays significantly higher form and efficiency in home matches, achieving an impressive 80% win rate and averaging 1.9 goals per game with only 0.8 conceded. The hosts sit 3rd in the table with a record of 12 wins this season, whereas Express, in 10th place, has not won a single away match this season (0% away win rate). The visitors have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 matches and are on a streak of 5 consecutive draws, indicating severe offensive issues (failing to score in 80% of their away games). The xG stats confirm KCCA's advantage (1.83 vs 1.28), and the hosts' average ball possession (58% vs 48%) along with shot quality (5.8 shots on target per game vs 3.11) further cement their status as favorites. Taking all these factors into account, a home victory is the most likely outcome for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KCCA | Express | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KCCA is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - KCCA · 1 pts / match - Express
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCCA is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - KCCA · 0.79 goals / match - Express
KCCA is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - KCCA · 0.95 goals / match - Express
KCCA scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Express scores in 37% of matches (7 of 19 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KCCA
Over / Under - Express
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KCCA is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - KCCA · 1.21 pts / match - Express
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KCCA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Express - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KCCA
Express
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| KCCA | Liga | Express | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.37 | 2.11 | ▼ 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 35% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 60% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 58% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KCCAGoalIvan Ahimbisibwe
- KCCAGoalSaidi Mayanja
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KCCA 1 - 0 - 0 Express. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KCCA vs Express?
The Uganda Premier League match finished KCCA 3:0 Express. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KCCA vs Express?
KCCA score 1.47 goals per game on average and Express 0.79. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 53% of KCCA's matches and 26% of Express's.
What form are KCCA and Express in?
Over the last 5 games KCCA have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Express 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KCCA vs Express?
The statistical background for KCCA vs Express — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.