KCCA vs UPDF: match statistics
KCCA displays significantly higher form and quality, sitting in 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 8 wins this season. The hosts are undefeated at home (83% wins, 0% losses) and have recorded a streak of 5 consecutive wins in their last 5 home matches. UPDF is in 15th position with only 3 wins this season and poor away form (57% losses, merely 29% wins). The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.95 vs 1.62), and KCCA scores an average of 1.83 goals per home match, while UPDF concedes an average of 1.86 goals away. The difference in class between the two teams is clear, and the hosts' advantage in every statistical aspect points to a certain victory for KCCA.
KCCA vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KCCA played UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
KCCA: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. UPDF: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
KCCA scores 1.31 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. UPDF scores 0.92 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KCCA 54%, UPDF 46%. Over 2.5: KCCA 46%, UPDF 46%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
KCCA has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.53. KCCA: 11.2 shots per match, UPDF: 11.0.
Match halves
KCCA: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.62. UPDF: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
KCCA: 76-90+ (4 goals). UPDF: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KCCA displays significantly higher form and quality, sitting in 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 8 wins this season. The hosts are undefeated at home (83% wins, 0% losses) and have recorded a streak of 5 consecutive wins in their last 5 home matches. UPDF is in 15th position with only 3 wins this season and poor away form (57% losses, merely 29% wins). The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.95 vs 1.62), and KCCA scores an average of 1.83 goals per home match, while UPDF concedes an average of 1.86 goals away. The difference in class between the two teams is clear, and the hosts' advantage in every statistical aspect points to a certain victory for KCCA.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KCCA | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KCCA is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - KCCA · 1 pts / match - UPDF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCCA is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - KCCA · 0.92 goals / match - UPDF
KCCA is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - KCCA · 1.46 goals / match - UPDF
KCCA scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
UPDF scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KCCA
Over / Under - UPDF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KCCA is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / match - KCCA · 0.85 pts / match - UPDF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KCCA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KCCA
UPDF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| KCCA | Liga | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.30 | • 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 45% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 41% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 33% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KCCAGoalJoel Sserunjogi
- KCCAGoalAlpha Thierry Ssali
FAQ
What was the result of KCCA vs UPDF?
The Uganda Premier League match finished KCCA 4:0 UPDF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KCCA vs UPDF?
KCCA score 1.31 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.92. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 54% of KCCA's matches and 46% of UPDF's.
What form are KCCA and UPDF in?
Over the last 5 games KCCA have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and UPDF 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KCCA vs UPDF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.