Keçiörengücü vs Hatayspor: match statistics
Keçiörengücü is in decidedly better form, securing 11 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to Hatayspor's mere 0.4 points per match over the same period. The hosts boast a solid home record with 33% wins and 44% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.78 goals per game on their own turf. Hatayspor sits bottom of the table in 19th place, remaining winless on the road this season (0%) while conceding a staggering 2.9 goals per away game. The disparity in goal difference is telling: +4 for the hosts at home versus -19 for the visitors away. xG statistics also favor Keçiörengücü (1.37 vs 1.01), confirming their qualitative superiority and establishing them as the clear favorites for this clash.
Keçiörengücü vs Hatayspor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Keçiörengücü played Hatayspor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Keçiörengücü: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Hatayspor: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Keçiörengücü scores 1.63 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Hatayspor scores 0.84 and concedes 2.63. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Keçiörengücü 74%, Hatayspor 63%. Over 2.5: Keçiörengücü 58%, Hatayspor 74%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Keçiörengücü has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.00. Keçiörengücü: 12.3 shots per match, Hatayspor: 9.2.
Match halves
Keçiörengücü: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.74. Hatayspor: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Keçiörengücü: 16-30 (7 goals). Hatayspor: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Lig: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Keçiörengücü is in decidedly better form, securing 11 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to Hatayspor's mere 0.4 points per match over the same period. The hosts boast a solid home record with 33% wins and 44% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.78 goals per game on their own turf. Hatayspor sits bottom of the table in 19th place, remaining winless on the road this season (0%) while conceding a staggering 2.9 goals per away game. The disparity in goal difference is telling: +4 for the hosts at home versus -19 for the visitors away. xG statistics also favor Keçiörengücü (1.37 vs 1.01), confirming their qualitative superiority and establishing them as the clear favorites for this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Keçiörengücü | Hatayspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Keçiörengücü is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Keçiörengücü · 0.4 pts / match - Hatayspor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Keçiörengücü is 94% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Keçiörengücü · 0.84 goals / match - Hatayspor
Keçiörengücü is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Keçiörengücü · 2.63 goals / match - Hatayspor
Keçiörengücü scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Hatayspor keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 19 matches).
Hatayspor scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Keçiörengücü keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Keçiörengücü
Over / Under - Hatayspor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Keçiörengücü is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Keçiörengücü · 0.89 pts / match - Hatayspor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Keçiörengücü - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hatayspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Keçiörengücü
Hatayspor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).
Teams vs league
| Keçiörengücü | Liga | Hatayspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.84 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Keçiörengücü 1 - 0 - 0 Hatayspor. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Keçiörengücü vs Hatayspor?
The 1. Lig match finished Keçiörengücü 5:0 Hatayspor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Keçiörengücü vs Hatayspor?
Keçiörengücü score 1.63 goals per game on average and Hatayspor 0.84. The 1. Lig average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Keçiörengücü's matches and 63% of Hatayspor's.
What form are Keçiörengücü and Hatayspor in?
Over the last 5 games Keçiörengücü have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hatayspor 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Keçiörengücü vs Hatayspor?
The statistical background for Keçiörengücü vs Hatayspor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.