Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor: match statistics
Keçiörengücü shows significantly better home form with a 43% home win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.93 goals per home game while conceding just 0.93 goals, giving them a solid defensive edge. Sakaryaspor is in a difficult league situation in 17th position, winning only 14% of their away matches and conceding an average of 2.14 goals per away game. The difference in away goal difference (-10 for Sakaryaspor) and the hosts' higher xG efficiency (1.44 vs 1.14) further support the prediction of a Keçiörengücü victory. The form over the last five matches of both teams (1.4 PPG for the hosts vs 1.0 PPG for the visitors) confirms the home team's advantage, although a draw should not be ruled out due to Keçiörengücü's relatively high number of home draws (36%).
Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Keçiörengücü played Sakaryaspor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 11 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Keçiörengücü: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sakaryaspor: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Keçiörengücü scores 1.86 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Sakaryaspor scores 1.31 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Keçiörengücü 69%, Sakaryaspor 55%. Over 2.5: Keçiörengücü 62%, Sakaryaspor 52%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Keçiörengücü has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.23. Keçiörengücü: 12.3 shots per match, Sakaryaspor: 11.1.
Match halves
Keçiörengücü: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.72. Sakaryaspor: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Keçiörengücü: 31-45+ (14 goals). Sakaryaspor: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Lig: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Keçiörengücü shows significantly better home form with a 43% home win rate and an impressive +14 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.93 goals per home game while conceding just 0.93 goals, giving them a solid defensive edge. Sakaryaspor is in a difficult league situation in 17th position, winning only 14% of their away matches and conceding an average of 2.14 goals per away game. The difference in away goal difference (-10 for Sakaryaspor) and the hosts' higher xG efficiency (1.44 vs 1.14) further support the prediction of a Keçiörengücü victory. The form over the last five matches of both teams (1.4 PPG for the hosts vs 1.0 PPG for the visitors) confirms the home team's advantage, although a draw should not be ruled out due to Keçiörengücü's relatively high number of home draws (36%).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Keçiörengücü | Sakaryaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Keçiörengücü is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Keçiörengücü · 1 pts / match - Sakaryaspor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Keçiörengücü is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Keçiörengücü · 1.31 goals / match - Sakaryaspor
Keçiörengücü is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Keçiörengücü · 1.79 goals / match - Sakaryaspor
Keçiörengücü scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Sakaryaspor keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
Sakaryaspor scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Keçiörengücü keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Keçiörengücü
Over / Under - Sakaryaspor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Keçiörengücü is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.69 pts / match - Keçiörengücü · 1.03 pts / match - Sakaryaspor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Keçiörengücü - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sakaryaspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).
Teams vs league
| Keçiörengücü | Liga | Sakaryaspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 82% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Keçiörengücü 0 - 0 - 1 Sakaryaspor. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor?
The 1. Lig match finished Keçiörengücü 1:1 Sakaryaspor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor?
Keçiörengücü score 1.86 goals per game on average and Sakaryaspor 1.31. The 1. Lig average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Keçiörengücü's matches and 55% of Sakaryaspor's.
What form are Keçiörengücü and Sakaryaspor in?
Over the last 5 games Keçiörengücü have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sakaryaspor 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Keçiörengücü vs Sakaryaspor: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.