Keçiörengücü vs Serik Belediyespor: match statistics
Keçiörengücü vs Serik Belediyespor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Keçiörengücü played Serik Belediyespor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Keçiörengücü: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Serik Belediyespor: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Keçiörengücü scores 1.97 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Serik Belediyespor scores 1.15 and concedes 2.03. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Keçiörengücü 65%, Serik Belediyespor 41%. Over 2.5: Keçiörengücü 62%, Serik Belediyespor 65%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Keçiörengücü has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.17. Keçiörengücü: 12.7 shots per match, Serik Belediyespor: 10.3.
Match halves
Keçiörengücü: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.85. Serik Belediyespor: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Keçiörengücü: 31-45+ (16 goals). Serik Belediyespor: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Lig: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Keçiörengücü holds a clear statistical advantage: at home they score on average 2.24 goals per game (67 goals this season), while Serik score only 0.94 on the road on average (39 goals this season). Defensively the hosts are superior as well — Keçiörengücü concedes 0.82 goals at home and keeps a clean sheet in 41% of matches, whereas Serik concede 1.94 goals away and record clean sheets in only 25% of games. Chance quality favors the hosts: 13.94 average shots and 5.18 shots on target at home with a conversion rate of 16% and xG 1.57 versus 9.38 shots, 3.5 shots on target, 10% conversion and xG 1.08 for the visitors. Form also leans to the hosts — in the last 5 matches Keçiörengücü have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 4, while Serik have 2 wins and 3 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Based on this I assess a home win as most likely (around 70%), a draw around 20% and a Serik win about 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Keçiörengücü concedes an average of 2.11 goals per match and has scored 67 goals this season, while Serik concedes 1.94 goals per match and has 39 goals scored, indicating open matches with high goal potential. The season BTTS rate is 50% for the home side and 31% for the away side, but in the last 5 matches Serik has BTTS at 60% and Keçiörengücü 40%, suggesting an increased tendency for the visitors to score. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 13 goals (2.6 avg) and conceded 4 (0.8), and the visitors have scored 10 (2.0) and conceded 14 (2.8), so the last-five form strongly favors an exchange of goals. Average xG from the last 5 matches is 1.64 for the hosts and 1.57 for the visitors, while season xG is 1.25 vs 1.08; shots on target are 3.83 vs 3.50, confirming chance creation. Considering these numbers and the league BTTS level of 49% and relatively low clean sheet rates of 28% and 25%, I assess the strongest signal is BTTS - Yes — 60% Yes and 40% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The home side averages 1.33 goals per game this season, the visitors 0.94, with seasonal xG at 1.25 (Keçiörengücü) vs 1.08 (Serik). In the last 5 matches home xG is 1.64 and away xG 1.57; averaging season and form I project expected goals of 1.45 for the home team and 1.33 for the away team, totaling 2.78. Season-long percentages of matches over 1.5 goals are 78% and 75%, and over 2.5 are 67% and 63% respectively; additionally both teams concede on average 2.11 and 1.94 goals, and clean sheets occur only in 28% and 25% of cases. This strongly favors outcomes over 1.5 (and supports Over 2.5), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Form analysis favors the home side: in their last 5 matches Keçiörengücü averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded with a 60% win rate, whereas Serik averaged 2.0 scored and 2.8 conceded (40% wins, 60% losses). At half-time the hosts led in 40% of those matches (2 of 5), scoring on average 1.0 and conceding 0.4, while the visitors led in only 20% of their last 5 and conceded on average 1.6 by the break. Season-long indicators also slightly favor Keçiörengücü: xG 1.25 vs 1.08, more shots 11.0 vs 9.38 and higher conversion 12% vs 10%, while HTPPG 1.17 vs 1.00 and HTPoints 21 vs 16 indicate a first-half edge. Additionally, Serik conceded as many as 9 goals in minutes 76–90, and Keçiörengücü scored 6 goals in both 61–75 and 76–90 intervals, which increases the likelihood of the hosts maintaining or regaining a lead; therefore the strongest signal is the home side leading at the break and winning at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Keçiörengücü | Serik Belediyespor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Keçiörengücü is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Keçiörengücü · 1.2 pts / match - Serik Belediyespor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Keçiörengücü is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
1.97 goals / match - Keçiörengücü · 1.15 goals / match - Serik Belediyespor
Keçiörengücü is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Keçiörengücü · 2.03 goals / match - Serik Belediyespor
Keçiörengücü scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Serik Belediyespor keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Serik Belediyespor scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Keçiörengücü keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Keçiörengücü
Over / Under - Serik Belediyespor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Keçiörengücü is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Keçiörengücü · 1.09 pts / match - Serik Belediyespor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Keçiörengücü - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 41%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Serik Belediyespor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Keçiörengücü
Serik Belediyespor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).
Teams vs league
| Keçiörengücü | Liga | Serik Belediyespor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Keçiörengücü 1 - 0 - 0 Serik Belediyespor. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Keçiörengücü vs Serik Belediyespor?
The 1. Lig match finished Keçiörengücü 0:0 Serik Belediyespor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Keçiörengücü vs Serik Belediyespor?
Keçiörengücü score 1.97 goals per game on average and Serik Belediyespor 1.15. The 1. Lig average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Keçiörengücü's matches and 41% of Serik Belediyespor's.
What form are Keçiörengücü and Serik Belediyespor in?
Over the last 5 games Keçiörengücü have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Serik Belediyespor 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Keçiörengücü vs Serik Belediyespor?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.