Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakécske: match statistics
Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakécske: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kecskeméti TE played Tiszakécske in NB II (Hungary). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Kecskeméti TE: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Tiszakécske: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kecskeméti TE scores 1.58 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Tiszakécske scores 1.23 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kecskeméti TE 50%, Tiszakécske 65%. Over 2.5: Kecskeméti TE 54%, Tiszakécske 46%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Kecskeméti TE has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.59. Kecskeméti TE: 13.0 shots per match, Tiszakécske: 10.2.
Match halves
Kecskeméti TE: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.85. Tiszakécske: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Kecskeméti TE: 61-75 (10 goals). Tiszakécske: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB II: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kecskeméti TE holds a clear home advantage: they are 3rd in the table and average 1.92 goals scored per home match while conceding only 0.77, whereas Tiszakécske on the road score 1.31 and concede 1.54. The hosts average 14.08 shots and 5.77 on target per home game with a conversion rate of 14% and average xG 1.73, while the visitors register 12.64 shots, 4.45 on target, 9% conversion and xG 1.59, indicating higher quality chances for Kecskeméti. Additionally, the hosts win 69% of home matches and keep a clean sheet in 46% of games, whereas the visitors win 23% of away fixtures and only maintain a clean sheet in 15%, which translates into a significant defensive edge for the hosts. In the last 5 matches both teams scored 8 goals, but Kecskeméti conceded 8 (1.6 per game) while Tiszakécske conceded 5 (1.0 per game), so despite short-term defensive instability for the hosts, the superior home metrics and goal difference disparity (+15 for the hosts vs -3 for the visitors away) favor a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high BTTS rates this season: 69% for Kecskeméti and 62% for Tiszakécske, averaging 65.5%, which is well above the league baseline of 48%. In the last 5 matches signals are mixed — the home side has BTTS in 40% of games, while the visitors in 80%, so Tiszakécske provides strong support for a Goal/Goal scenario. xG is 1.61 for the home team and 1.59 for the away team (around 3.2 xG combined), and average goals conceded are 1.31 and 1.54 per match respectively, suggesting both sides create scoring opportunities. Additionally, average shots on target 3.55 (home) vs 4.45 (away) and low clean sheet expected percentages of 23% and 15% further increase the likelihood that both teams will score. Based on these figures I recommend a BTTS = Yes bet with an estimated probability of about 72% versus 28% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model forecasts ~1.52 goals for the home team and ~1.53 for the away team (averages: (1.61+1.43)/2 and (1.59+1.47)/2), yielding a total of ~3.05 goals. With that mean (λ=3.05) the Poisson distribution implies roughly an 81% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), which aligns with seasonal Over 1.5 rates: 77% for Kecskeméti and 85% for Tiszakécske. I assess Over 2.5 moderately at ~59% (probability of 3+ goals); seasonal values are 46% for both teams and the last 5 matches (60% for the home side, 40% for the away) give a slight edge to Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is a weaker signal (~36% by Poisson), consistent with season rates of 15% (home) and 38% (away). Additionally, both teams score in 69% (home) vs 62% (away) of matches and the shots on target 3.55 vs 4.45 support the more-than-one-goal scenario, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely Half-Time scenario is a draw – the home side were level at the break in 54% of their matches this season, which strongly supports the X on HT. I expect a home win by Full-Time: the home team’s season points per game are 1.46 versus 1.08 for the away side, win percentages 38% vs 23%, and in the last five matches the hosts have won 60% of games compared to the visitors’ 40%. xG is nearly identical (1.61 vs 1.59), but the home team have slightly better shot conversion (10% vs 9%) and have collected more points after the break (25 vs 21), which speaks in favor of a second-half turnaround in their favor. On this basis I select X/1 (draw at Half-Time, home win Full-Time) as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kecskeméti TE | Tiszakécske | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kecskeméti TE is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Kecskeméti TE · 1.6 pts / match - Tiszakécske
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kecskeméti TE is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Kecskeméti TE · 1.23 goals / match - Tiszakécske
Kecskeméti TE is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Kecskeméti TE · 1.42 goals / match - Tiszakécske
Kecskeméti TE scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Tiszakécske keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
Tiszakécske scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Kecskeméti TE keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kecskeméti TE
Over / Under - Tiszakécske
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kecskeméti TE is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Kecskeméti TE · 0.85 pts / match - Tiszakécske
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kecskeméti TE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tiszakécske - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kecskeméti TE
Tiszakécske
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB II).
Teams vs league
| Kecskeméti TE | Liga | Tiszakécske | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 45% | • 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 29% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kecskeméti TE 0 - 0 - 1 Tiszakécske. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakécske?
The NB II match finished Kecskeméti TE 5:1 Tiszakécske. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakécske?
Kecskeméti TE score 1.58 goals per game on average and Tiszakécske 1.23. The NB II average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kecskeméti TE's matches and 65% of Tiszakécske's.
What form are Kecskeméti TE and Tiszakécske in?
Over the last 5 games Kecskeméti TE have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tiszakécske 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakécske?
The statistical background for Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakécske — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.