Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kedus Giorgis played Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 2 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Kedus Giorgis: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kedus Giorgis scores 0.86 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.57 and concedes 1.14. League average: 1.74 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kedus Giorgis 14%, Arba Minch Kenema 57%. Over 2.5: Kedus Giorgis 14%, Arba Minch Kenema 14%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 27%.

xG, shots and style

Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.01. Kedus Giorgis: 11.1 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 5.6.

Match halves

Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.14.

Goals by minute

Kedus Giorgis: 16-30 (2 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.74 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 27%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
10Shots6
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
2Shots on target1
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
1.37xG1.07
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
3Corners2
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
83Dangerous attacks85
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
14Fouls20
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0Cards0
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.86Goals scored / match0.57
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.57Goals conceded / match1.14
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
51%Average possession46%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
3.71Shots on target / match2.14
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.14Shots per match5.57
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
3.71Shots on target2.14
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
7.7%Shot conversion10.3%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
51%Possession46%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
1.47xG for1.01
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
1.24xG against1.22
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Shooting quality

Kedus Giorgis: BalancedArba Minch Kenema: Balanced
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kedus Giorgis is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.4 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Kedus Giorgis
LWWLL
Season result split
57% W0% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-3
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 at home
1-0-2
LWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Arba Minch Kenema
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W57% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-4-3
0.57 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 away
0-3-1
DLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kedus Giorgis is 51% better for: goals scored per match.

0.86 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.57 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Kedus Giorgis is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.57 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.14 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema

Kedus Giorgis scoring profile: strong

Kedus Giorgis scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Arba Minch Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Arba Minch Kenema scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

6Goals scored (season)4
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
4Goals conceded (season)8
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
1.43Average goals in match1.71
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
4Goals scored (last 5)2
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal57%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
14%2 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
14%3 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal86%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%2 goals14%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%3 goals14%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
20%BTTS - last 540%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kedus Giorgis - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing
Arba Minch Kenema - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)1.43
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.43
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.86Average goals (1st half)0.71
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
71%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
71%No goal before half-time57%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)0.57
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.14
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
0.57Average goals (2nd half)1
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
71%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema
71%No goal after half-time86%
Kedus GiorgisArba Minch Kenema

Kedus Giorgis - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results

0% W57% R43% P
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kedus Giorgis - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.80.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.20.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Arba Minch Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.40
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference+1-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kedus Giorgis
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Arba Minch Kenema
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.57
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kedus Giorgis

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Arba Minch Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Kedus GiorgisLigaArba Minch Kenema
Average goals in match 1.431.74 1.71
Both teams scored 14%38% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 14%27% 14%
Clean sheets 43%40% 14%
Goal before half-time 43%55% 57%
Goal after half-time 57%58% 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.74
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.87
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 1:0 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Kedus Giorgis score 0.86 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.57. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 14% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 57% of Arba Minch Kenema's.

What form are Kedus Giorgis and Arba Minch Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema?

The statistical background for Kedus Giorgis vs Arba Minch Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.