Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 07 September 2026

Kedus Giorgis vs Welayta Dicha: match statistics

Kedus Giorgis crest
Kedus Giorgis
1 : 1half-time 0:1
Welayta Dicha crest
Welayta Dicha
155%(1.88)
X30%(2.95)
215%(4.20)

Kedus Giorgis holds a distinct home advantage, confirmed by a 40% home win rate and a goal difference of zero in home matches. Welayta Dicha displays very poor away form with 0% wins, a 67% loss rate, and a negative goal difference of -5. The visitors have not kept a single clean sheet on the road, conceding 1.5 goals per match on average, which, combined with an xG Against of 1.09, suggests defensive vulnerabilities. Kedus Giorgis boasts superior xG For indicators (1.46) compared to the visitors' away xG For (1.29), pointing to the hosts' greater offensive potential. Recent form is similar for both sides (1.2 points per match in the last 5 games); however, home advantage and direct statistics favor a Kedus Giorgis victory, though a draw remains a plausible scenario given the hosts' moderate consistency.

Kedus Giorgis vs Welayta Dicha: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kedus Giorgis played Welayta Dicha in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Kedus Giorgis: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Welayta Dicha: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kedus Giorgis scores 0.83 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Welayta Dicha scores 1.00 and concedes 1.25. League average: 1.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kedus Giorgis 33%, Welayta Dicha 67%. Over 2.5: Kedus Giorgis 8%, Welayta Dicha 42%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots and style

Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.41. Kedus Giorgis: 10.3 shots per match, Welayta Dicha: 9.2.

Match halves

Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.25. Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (4 goals). Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Kedus Giorgis holds a distinct home advantage, confirmed by a 40% home win rate and a goal difference of zero in home matches. Welayta Dicha displays very poor away form with 0% wins, a 67% loss rate, and a negative goal difference of -5. The visitors have not kept a single clean sheet on the road, conceding 1.5 goals per match on average, which, combined with an xG Against of 1.09, suggests defensive vulnerabilities. Kedus Giorgis boasts superior xG For indicators (1.46) compared to the visitors' away xG For (1.29), pointing to the hosts' greater offensive potential. Recent form is similar for both sides (1.2 points per match in the last 5 games); however, home advantage and direct statistics favor a Kedus Giorgis victory, though a draw remains a plausible scenario given the hosts' moderate consistency.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
6Shots6
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
1Shots on target2
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
1.15xG1.14
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
1Corners2
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
95Dangerous attacks85
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
10Fouls24
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0Cards0
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0.83Goals scored / match1
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0.67Goals conceded / match1.25
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
51%Average possession51%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
3.17Shots on target / match3.5
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.25Shots per match9.17
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
3.17Shots on target3.5
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
8.1%Shot conversion10.9%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
51%Possession51%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
1.45xG for1.41
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
1.29xG against1.03
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

Shooting quality

Kedus Giorgis: BalancedWelayta Dicha: Balanced
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
Accuracy (shots on target)31%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kedus Giorgis
WLDDD
Season result split
42% W25% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-4
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 0%
Welayta Dicha
DDWLD
Season result split
17% W42% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-5
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-4
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 0.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Welayta Dicha is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

0.83 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1 goals / match - Welayta Dicha

Kedus Giorgis is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.25 goals / match - Welayta Dicha

Kedus Giorgis scoring profile: very strong

Kedus Giorgis scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).

Welayta Dicha scoring profile: strong

Welayta Dicha scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).

10Goals scored (season)12
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
8Goals conceded (season)15
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
1.5Average goals in match2.25
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
4Goals scored (last 5)6
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal67%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
8%2 goals25%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
8%3 goals8%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0%4 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal92%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0%2 goals33%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0%3 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0%4 goals0%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time17%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0%Scored in both halves8%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

BTTS and goal count

8%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
60%BTTS - last 580%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
8%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

2nd half

58%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kedus Giorgis is 136% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.58 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.67 pts / match - Welayta Dicha

Kedus Giorgis - half-time state
42% leading33% draw25% trailing
Welayta Dicha - half-time state
8% leading42% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.58Points per match (1st half)0.67
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.25
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0.92Average goals (1st half)1
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
67%Clean sheet before half-time42%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
58%No goal before half-time75%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
0.58Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha
75%No goal after half-time50%
Kedus GiorgisWelayta Dicha

Kedus Giorgis - second-half results

25% W42% R33% P
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Welayta Dicha - second-half results

42% W25% R33% P
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding213%

Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kedus Giorgis - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Welayta Dicha - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.20
Goals scored / match0.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-4+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kedus Giorgis
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Welayta Dicha
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
3
16-30
1
5
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kedus Giorgis

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Welayta Dicha

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Kedus GiorgisLigaWelayta Dicha
Average goals in match 1.501.79 2.25
Both teams scored 33%44% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 8%29% 42%
Clean sheets 33%37% 8%
Goal before half-time 67%58% 67%
Goal after half-time 58%60% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.79
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
0.90
Home goals / match
0.88
Away goals / match
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Welayta Dicha?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 1:1 Welayta Dicha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Welayta Dicha?

Kedus Giorgis score 0.83 goals per game on average and Welayta Dicha 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 67% of Welayta Dicha's.

What form are Kedus Giorgis and Welayta Dicha in?

Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Welayta Dicha 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Welayta Dicha?

The statistical background for Kedus Giorgis vs Welayta Dicha — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.