Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Kedus Giorgis presents a solid disposition in home matches, where they achieve 38% wins and maintain an impressive 50% clean sheets, evidencing a stable defense. The hosts have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.34 vs 1.09), indicating the creation of better scoring situations at their own stadium. Welwalo Adigrat Uni occupies the penultimate place in the table and wins only 25% of cases in away matches, with a simultaneous 50% rate of matches without a scored goal. Despite the hosts' weaker form in the last five meetings (0.8 PPG), their home record and clear advantage in expected goals over the guests speak for their victory. Given the difference in class between the teams and Kedus Giorgis' home statistics, their triumph is expected, though the form of both teams may lead to an even meeting with the possibility of a draw.
Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kedus Giorgis played Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 5 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Kedus Giorgis: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kedus Giorgis scores 0.83 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.63 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kedus Giorgis 28%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 47%. Over 2.5: Kedus Giorgis 11%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 32%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.00. Kedus Giorgis: 9.1 shots per match, Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.5.
Match halves
Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.26.
Goals by minute
Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (5 goals). Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.70 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kedus Giorgis presents a solid disposition in home matches, where they achieve 38% wins and maintain an impressive 50% clean sheets, evidencing a stable defense. The hosts have the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.34 vs 1.09), indicating the creation of better scoring situations at their own stadium. Welwalo Adigrat Uni occupies the penultimate place in the table and wins only 25% of cases in away matches, with a simultaneous 50% rate of matches without a scored goal. Despite the hosts' weaker form in the last five meetings (0.8 PPG), their home record and clear advantage in expected goals over the guests speak for their victory. Given the difference in class between the teams and Kedus Giorgis' home statistics, their triumph is expected, though the form of both teams may lead to an even meeting with the possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kedus Giorgis | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.2 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kedus Giorgis is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 0.63 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Kedus Giorgis is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.72 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.21 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Kedus Giorgis scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kedus Giorgis
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kedus Giorgis is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis · 1.21 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kedus Giorgis
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kedus Giorgis | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.56 | 1.70 | ▲ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 28% | 41% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▲ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 41% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Kedus GiorgisGoalFitsum Tilahun
FAQ
What was the result of Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Kedus Giorgis 1:1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Kedus Giorgis score 0.83 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.63. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Kedus Giorgis's matches and 47% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Kedus Giorgis and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Kedus Giorgis have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The statistical background for Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.