Keflavík vs KR: match statistics
Keflavík vs KR: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Keflavík play KR in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 28 June 2026 at 19:00. Venue: Nettóvöllurinn. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Keflavík: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. KR: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Keflavík scores 1.60 and concedes 1.87 goals per match. KR scores 3.63 and concedes 2.25. League average: 4.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Keflavík 87%, KR 88%. Over 2.5: Keflavík 67%, KR 94%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
KR has higher xG: 2.54 vs 1.70. Keflavík: 15.9 shots per match, KR: 21.9.
Match halves
Keflavík: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. KR: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.81.
Goals by minute
Keflavík: 31-45+ (6 goals). KR: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.04 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an away win for KR. KR averages 3.2 goals per away match with an average xG of 2.27, while Keflavík scores only 0.8 goals per home match with xG 1.7, indicating a clear attacking edge for the visitors and underperformance in chance conversion by the hosts. Visitors average 18.6 shots and 7.8 on target away with a conversion rate of 17%, whereas the hosts register 16.6 shots and 4.4 on target with a conversion of 5% — both chance quality and finishing favor KR. Keflavík defends relatively steadily at home, conceding 1.2 goals on average, while KR concedes 2.6 goals away; however, in the last 5 matches KR scored 16 goals (3.2 per match) versus the hosts’ 5 goals (1.0 per match), so the visitors’ attack should prevail. Considering the league balance (KR has 9 wins vs. 3 for the hosts) and recent form over the last 5 matches (KR 3 wins and an average 1.8 points per match vs. Keflavík 1 win and 1.0 point per match), I assign KR a 65% chance to win, draw 20% and home win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Keflavík | KR | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KR is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Keflavík · 2 pts / match - KR
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KR is 127% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Keflavík · 3.63 goals / match - KR
Keflavík is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.87 goals / match - Keflavík · 2.25 goals / match - KR
Keflavík scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while KR keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).
KR scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Keflavík
Over / Under — KR
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KR is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Keflavík · 1.88 pts / match - KR
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
KR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Keflavík
KR
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Keflavík | Liga | KR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.47 | 4.04 | ▲ 5.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 87% | 74% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 94% |
| Clean sheets | • 13% | 14% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 87% | 88% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Keflavík 0 - 0 - 1 KR. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Keflavík vs KR?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Keflavík 3:2 KR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Keflavík vs KR?
Keflavík score 1.60 goals per game on average and KR 3.63. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 87% of Keflavík's matches and 88% of KR's.
What form are Keflavík and KR in?
Over the last 5 games Keflavík have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and KR 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Keflavík vs KR?
The statistical background for Keflavík vs KR — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.