Keflavík vs Stjarnan: match statistics
Keflavík vs Stjarnan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Keflavík play Stjarnan in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 19:30. Venue: Nettóvöllurinn. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Keflavík: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Stjarnan: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Keflavík scores 1.60 and concedes 1.87 goals per match. Stjarnan scores 1.87 and concedes 2.40. League average: 4.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Keflavík 87%, Stjarnan 87%. Over 2.5: Keflavík 67%, Stjarnan 87%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Stjarnan has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.70. Keflavík: 15.9 shots per match, Stjarnan: 15.0.
Match halves
Keflavík: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Stjarnan: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Keflavík: 31-45+ (6 goals). Stjarnan: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.04 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I predict an away win (2): Stjarnan holds a clear offensive edge — they average 2.5 goals on the road with a conversion rate of ~28%, while Keflavík score only 0.5 goals per home match with a conversion around 4%. The visitors also generate more high-quality chances: away they average 5 shots on target and 9 total shots per game versus the hosts' 3 shots on target and 12.5 total attempts, and they maintain higher possession (53% vs 40%). Both teams are defensively vulnerable — Keflavík concede 1.5 goals at home on average, and Stjarnan concede 2.5 on the road; in the last 5 matches the visitors have conceded 13 goals and the hosts 8, indicating an open game with multiple goals. xG shows the chances are similar in quality (Keflavík xG for at home 1.34 vs Stjarnan xG for away 1.27), but the hosts fail to convert (0.5 goals from xG 1.34), while the visitors convert their chances more efficiently (2.5 goals from xG 1.27). Considering Stjarnan’s higher efficiency, the fact Keflavík failed to score in 50% of home games while Stjarnan has 0% FTS away, plus the possession and shots-on-target differences, I estimate a 55% probability for an away win, 20% for a draw and 25% for a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Keflavík | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Keflavík is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Keflavík · 1 pts / match - Stjarnan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stjarnan is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Keflavík · 1.87 goals / match - Stjarnan
Keflavík is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.87 goals / match - Keflavík · 2.4 goals / match - Stjarnan
Keflavík scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).
Stjarnan scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Keflavík
Over / Under — Stjarnan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Keflavík is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Keflavík · 1.13 pts / match - Stjarnan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stjarnan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Keflavík
Stjarnan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Keflavík | Liga | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.47 | 4.04 | ▲ 4.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 87% | 74% | ▲ 87% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 87% |
| Clean sheets | • 13% | 14% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 82% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | • 87% | 88% | • 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Keflavík vs Stjarnan?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Keflavík 1:1 Stjarnan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Keflavík vs Stjarnan?
Keflavík score 1.60 goals per game on average and Stjarnan 1.87. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 87% of Keflavík's matches and 87% of Stjarnan's.
What form are Keflavík and Stjarnan in?
Over the last 5 games Keflavík have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Stjarnan 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Keflavík vs Stjarnan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Keflavík vs Stjarnan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.