Keflavík vs Víkingur Reykjavík: match statistics
Keflavík vs Víkingur Reykjavík: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Keflavík played Víkingur Reykjavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Keflavík: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Víkingur Reykjavík: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Keflavík scores 1.25 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Víkingur Reykjavík scores 2.50 and concedes 0.75. League average: 3.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Keflavík 75%, Víkingur Reykjavík 50%. Over 2.5: Keflavík 75%, Víkingur Reykjavík 50%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Víkingur Reykjavík has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.38. Keflavík: 12.0 shots per match, Víkingur Reykjavík: 16.5.
Match halves
Keflavík: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Víkingur Reykjavík: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.25.
Goals by minute
Keflavík: 46-60 (2 goals). Víkingur Reykjavík: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.75 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2) — Víkingur Reykjavík holds a clear advantage in key metrics. Víkingur won 4 of their last 5 matches, scored 14 goals and averages 2.6 points per game in this run, while Keflavík has 1 win, 1 point per game and 6 goals in their last five. Away, Víkingur averages 20 shots with 6 on target, has 2.08 xG and 2.0 goals per game with 100% away wins and 100% clean sheets; Keflavík at home records 9 shots (3 on target), 1.12 xG, but shows 0 average home goals and 100% of matches without scoring, indicating finishing issues. The possession gap (62% vs 43%), shot conversion efficiency (10% for Víkingur vs 0% for Keflavík) and xG (2.08 vs 1.12) further favor the visitors, so I assess probabilities as 70% for Víkingur, 20% for a draw and 10% for the home side.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because Keflavík has a season BTTS rate of 67% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Víkingur records 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches, which together indicate a high probability that both teams will score. Additionally, the league rate of matches with both teams scoring is 71% with an average of 3.88 goals per match, and the xG for both sides is high: Keflavík xG 2.00 versus Víkingur xG 2.08, confirming offensive potential from both teams. In the last 5 matches Keflavík has scored 6 and conceded 8 (avg 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded), whereas Víkingur has scored 14 and conceded 5 (avg 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded), so both sides have both the ability to score and a susceptibility to concede. Although Víkingur’s season data shows 100% clean sheets and 0.0 average goals conceded (which conflicts with the record of 3 goals conceded in the season), I consider the last 5 matches and xG to be more reliable indicators that Víkingur does concede goals. Based on this I assign an 80% probability to BTTS - Yes and 20% to No, because the combination of Keflavík’s 67% season BTTS, 80% in the last 5 matches and the league 71% provides a strong signal for both teams to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% of season matches over 1.5 goals (Keflavík 100% and Víkingur 100%), which is a very strong signal for Over 1.5. Averaging season and last five matches xG — Keflavík xG_for 2.00 and last 5 xG_for 1.88, Víkingur xG_for 2.08 and last 5 xG_for 2.17 — and xG_against versus opponent (xG_against respectively 0.42 and 1.06 and last 5 xG_against 0.98 and 1.84), we get predicted 1.32 goals for Keflavík and 1.79 for Víkingur, totaling 3.11 expected goals. Keflavík averages 15.33 shots and 6.67 on target with a 17% conversion (seasonal goals average 2.67), while Víkingur has 20.0 shots, 6.0 on target and 10% conversion (seasonal average 2.00); in the last 5 matches Víkingur scored 14 goals and Keflavík 6, reinforcing the goal potential. Considering the league average of 3.88 goals per match, the modelled 3.11 expected goals and the 100% over1.5 for both teams, I assess Over 1.5 at about 98% probability; Over 2.5 is moderately likely (~68%), and Over 3.5 less likely (~35%). Recommended bet is Over 1.5, as it is the line with the strongest historical and model support (100% season matches >1.5 and 3.11 total xG).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time a draw is most likely: the home side drew at the break in 67% of matches, while the visitors did so in 100%, with average first-half goals of 1.0 for the hosts and 0.0 for the visitors. In the second half the visitors typically step up — in the last five matches they have a +9 goal differential in second halves, won 100% of second halves and won 80% of those five fixtures. The visitors’ defense looks solid statistically: seasonally they have 100% clean sheets and concede only 0.42 xG per match, which makes it difficult for the hosts to score the decisive goal. The hosts do average 2.67 goals per match and have a 17% shot conversion rate, but they have not led at the break (0.0% leads at half-time) and have won only 20% of their last five matches. As a result, the strongest signal from the data is a draw at half-time followed by an away win after the break, hence the HT/FT recommendation X/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Keflavík | Víkingur Reykjavík | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Víkingur Reykjavík is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Keflavík · 2.5 pts / match - Víkingur Reykjavík
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Víkingur Reykjavík is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Keflavík · 2.5 goals / match - Víkingur Reykjavík
Víkingur Reykjavík is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Keflavík · 0.75 goals / match - Víkingur Reykjavík
Keflavík scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Víkingur Reykjavík keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Víkingur Reykjavík scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Keflavík
Over / Under - Víkingur Reykjavík
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Víkingur Reykjavík is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Keflavík · 0.75 pts / match - Víkingur Reykjavík
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Keflavík - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Víkingur Reykjavík - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Keflavík
Víkingur Reykjavík
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Keflavík | Liga | Víkingur Reykjavík | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.75 | ▼ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 16% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Keflavík vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Keflavík 1:3 Víkingur Reykjavík. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Keflavík vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
Keflavík score 1.25 goals per game on average and Víkingur Reykjavík 2.50. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Keflavík's matches and 50% of Víkingur Reykjavík's.
What form are Keflavík and Víkingur Reykjavík in?
Over the last 5 games Keflavík have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Víkingur Reykjavík 3-1-0 (2.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Keflavík vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Keflavík vs Víkingur Reykjavík: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.