Kelantan vs Selangor: match statistics

Kelantan are on an excellent run of five consecutive victories, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 1 in the process—an average of only 0.2 goals conceded per match. Selangor have scored more, netting 17 goals in their last five fixtures, but their recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, while the hosts have collected the full 15 points. Kelantan’s defence has been marginally tighter than that of the visitors, who conceded 2 goals over the same period. Selangor have the potential to find the net, averaging 3.4 goals per match during their latest run, but Kelantan’s consistency and perfect form point towards a narrow home victory.

The strongest signal is the very low percentage of matches in which both teams scored across the last five games: it stands at just 20% for both Kelantan and Selangor. Kelantan conceded only 1 goal during this period, averaging 0.2 per match, while scoring 11 goals, which primarily points to a run of wins with clean sheets. Selangor have also defended very effectively, conceding 2 goals in five appearances (0.4 per match), despite averaging 3.4 goals scored per game. The visitors created chances worth an average xG of 1.93, giving them clear arguments for scoring, but their average xG against is only 0.78. The BTTS - Yes scenario cannot be ruled out due to the teams’ high attacking efficiency, but the data provide significantly stronger support for BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team is expected not to score.

Both teams have shown excellent finishing in their last five matches: Kelantan scored 11 goals, averaging 2.2 per game, while Selangor scored as many as 17, averaging 3.4 per game. At the same time, their defenses conceded just 1 and 2 goals respectively during this period, suggesting that the high scores often resulted from one-sided dominance rather than an end-to-end exchange of chances. At least 3 goals were scored in 3 of each team’s last 5 matches, while both teams scored in only 20% of games. Selangor averaged 1.93 xG while allowing opponents just 0.78 xG, so they should account for a significant share of the projected 2.80 goals. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as even with the low rate of both teams scoring, the strong attacking form of both sides clearly points towards at least two goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Kelantan win at full-time, as the hosts have won all of their last five matches, while Selangor have won three of five. Kelantan were level at the break in 60% of those matches and were never trailing at half-time, whereas Selangor were level after 45 minutes in only 20% of their appearances. The hosts conceded an average of just 0.2 goals per match and kept a clean sheet at half-time in 80% of their recent games, limiting the visitors’ chances of holding onto a lead. After the break, Kelantan scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded none, earning an average of 2.6 points per match in this period compared with Selangor’s 2.2. The visitors do have a very strong start, averaging 2.2 goals before half-time and taking the lead in 60% of matches, so the HT/FT option of Selangor leading at the break and winning at full-time remains a significant alternative.