Scotland - League TwoData current as of 01 September 2026

Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kelty Hearts play Annan Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 5 September 2026.

Current form

Kelty Hearts: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Annan Athletic: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kelty Hearts scores 1.40 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Annan Athletic scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.20 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kelty Hearts 60%, Annan Athletic 40%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 60%, Annan Athletic 40%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Annan Athletic has higher xG: 1.09 vs 1.02. Kelty Hearts: 6.6 shots per match, Annan Athletic: 7.0.

Match halves

Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Annan Athletic: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (2 goals). Annan Athletic: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.30)
(2.35)
(3.90)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
1.4Goals scored / match1.2
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
2Goals conceded / match1.4
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
45%Average possession52%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
4.4Shots on target / match4
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.6Shots per match7
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
4.4Shots on target4
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
21.2%Shot conversion17.1%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
45%Possession52%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
1.02xG for1.09
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
1.22xG against1.09
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

Shooting quality

Kelty Hearts: Counter-attackingAnnan Athletic: Efficient finishing
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
Accuracy (shots on target)67%57%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kelty Hearts
LWLWL
Season result split
40% W0% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Annan Athletic
LWLLW
Season result split
40% W0% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kelty Hearts is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.2 goals / match - Annan Athletic

Annan Athletic is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.4 goals / match - Annan Athletic

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: mixed

Kelty Hearts scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Annan Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

Annan Athletic scoring profile: very strong

Annan Athletic scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

7Goals scored (season)6
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
10Goals conceded (season)7
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
3.4Average goals in match2.6
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal80%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
40%2 goals40%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
40%3 goals0%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
0%4 goals0%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal60%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
60%2 goals40%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
20%3 goals20%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
20%4 goals20%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
40%Scored in both halves20%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
60%BTTS - last 540%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Annan Athletic is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.4 pts / match - Annan Athletic

Kelty Hearts - half-time state
40% leading0% draw60% trailing
Annan Athletic - half-time state
20% leading80% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.4
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
1.8Average goals (1st half)0.6
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
20%Clean sheet before half-time80%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
60%No goal before half-time60%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.2
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
1.6Average goals (2nd half)2
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
60%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
40%No goal after half-time40%
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

20% W40% R40% P
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Annan Athletic - second-half results

40% W0% R60% P
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kelty Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Annan Athletic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Annan Athletic
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.78
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
156%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Annan Athletic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Kelty HeartsLigaAnnan Athletic
Average goals in match 3.403.20 2.60
Both teams scored 60%48% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%60% 40%
Clean sheets 0%26% 40%
Goal before half-time 100%76% 40%
Goal after half-time 60%84% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.20
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.92
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+50%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+36%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic play?

Kelty Hearts face Annan Athletic on 5 September 2026 in League Two. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic?

Kelty Hearts score 1.40 goals per game on average and Annan Athletic 1.20. The League Two average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 40% of Annan Athletic's.

What form are Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic in?

Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Annan Athletic 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.