Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kelty Hearts played Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 2:5.

Current form

Kelty Hearts: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Cove Rangers: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kelty Hearts scores 0.88 and concedes 2.18 goals per match. Cove Rangers scores 0.71 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kelty Hearts 53%, Cove Rangers 35%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 76%, Cove Rangers 41%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Cove Rangers has higher xG: 1.26 vs 0.92. Kelty Hearts: 6.6 shots per match, Cove Rangers: 9.9.

Match halves

Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41. Cove Rangers: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

Kelty Hearts: 0-15 (3 goals). Cove Rangers: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
0 : 4
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
9Shots11
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
6Shots on target7
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
1.3xG1.53
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
3Corners3
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
41Dangerous attacks48
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
7Fouls8
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
2Cards1
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
0.88Goals scored / match0.71
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
2.18Goals conceded / match1.41
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
51%Average possession49%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
3.06Shots on target / match4.06
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.59Shots per match9.94
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
3.06Shots on target4.06
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
13.4%Shot conversion7.1%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
51%Possession49%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
0.92xG for1.26
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
1.7xG against1.33
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

Shooting quality

Kelty Hearts: Efficient finishingCove Rangers: Balanced
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)46%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.17

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cove Rangers is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1 pts / match - Cove Rangers

Kelty Hearts
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
12% W18% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-12
0.53 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-7
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Cove Rangers
LWDDL
Season result split
12% W24% D65% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-11
0.59 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kelty Hearts is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

0.88 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 0.71 goals / match - Cove Rangers

Cove Rangers is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.18 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.41 goals / match - Cove Rangers

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: strong

Kelty Hearts scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).

Cove Rangers scoring profile: strong

Cove Rangers scores in 41% of matches (7 of 17 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).

15Goals scored (season)12
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
37Goals conceded (season)24
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
3.06Average goals in match2.12
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
6Goals scored (last 5)3
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
12Goals conceded (last 5)4
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal41%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
29%2 goals18%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
0%3 goals12%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
0%4 goals0%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

How often they concede at least...

94%1 goal82%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
76%2 goals41%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
41%3 goals18%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
6%4 goals0%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time18%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
18%Scored in both halves12%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
80%BTTS - last 540%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time18%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cove Rangers is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.82 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.12 pts / match - Cove Rangers

Kelty Hearts - half-time state
18% leading29% draw53% trailing
Cove Rangers - half-time state
24% leading41% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.82Points per match (1st half)1.12
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.41
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
1.12Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
1.59Average goals (1st half)1.06
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
18%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
59%No goal before half-time71%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

0.59Points per match (2nd half)0.76
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
1.47Average goals (2nd half)0.88
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
18%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers
65%No goal after half-time76%
Kelty HeartsCove Rangers

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

12% W24% D65% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cove Rangers - second-half results

12% W41% D47% L
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kelty Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.6
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Cove Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.00.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
2
7
31-45
3
9
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Cove Rangers
ScoredConceded
1
9
0-15
1
3
16-30
5
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
24%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
24%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.78
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
183%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Cove Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Kelty HeartsLigaCove Rangers
Average goals in match 3.062.57 2.12
Both teams scored 53%43% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 76%54% 41%
Clean sheets 6%32% 18%
Goal before half-time 94%73% 65%
Goal after half-time 94%82% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Cove RangersGoalAdam Emslie
  2. Kelty HeartsGoalThomas O'WareAssist: Innes Murray
  3. Kelty HeartsGoalRicco Diack
  4. Cove RangersYellow cardRyan Harrington
  5. Kelty HeartsSubstitutionOn: James GrahamOff: Luke McCarvel
  6. Cove RangersGoalMichael DoyleAssist: Ryan Harrington
  7. Cove RangersSubstitutionOn: David Didi EguaiborOff: Chris Maguire
  8. Kelty HeartsSubstitutionOn: Cooper MassonOff: Innes Murray
  9. Cove RangersGoalMitchel MegginsonAssist: Michael Doyle
  10. Kelty HeartsYellow cardRicco Diack
  11. Cove RangersGoalLewis O'DonnellAssist: Layton Bisland
  12. Cove RangersSubstitutionOn: Mackenzie StrachanOff: Ryan Harrington
  13. Cove RangersGoalMitchel MegginsonAssist: Lewis O'Donnell
  14. Cove RangersSubstitutionOn: Reuben McAllisterOff: Lewis O'Donnell
  15. Kelty HeartsYellow cardThomas O'Ware

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Kelty Hearts 1 - 0 - 0 Cove Rangers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Cove Rangers FC
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts FC

FAQ

What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers?

The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 2:5 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers?

Kelty Hearts score 0.88 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 0.71. The League One average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 35% of Cove Rangers's.

What form are Kelty Hearts and Cove Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Cove Rangers 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers?

The statistical background for Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.