Scotland - League TwoData current as of 18 September 2026

Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kelty Hearts play Edinburgh City in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 19 September 2026.

Current form

Kelty Hearts: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Edinburgh City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kelty Hearts scores 1.43 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Edinburgh City scores 2.29 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.51 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kelty Hearts 71%, Edinburgh City 57%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 71%, Edinburgh City 71%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Edinburgh City has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.02. Kelty Hearts: 7.0 shots per match, Edinburgh City: 8.9.

Match halves

Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.71. Edinburgh City: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (3 goals). Edinburgh City: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.51 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
1.43Goals scored / match2.29
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
2.14Goals conceded / match2
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
47%Average possession55%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
4.43Shots on target / match5.71
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7Shots per match8.86
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
4.43Shots on target5.71
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
20.4%Shot conversion25.8%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
47%Possession55%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
1.02xG for1.3
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
1.29xG against0.96
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

Shooting quality

Kelty Hearts: Counter-attackingEdinburgh City: Efficient finishing
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
Accuracy (shots on target)63%64%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Edinburgh City is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 2 pts / match - Edinburgh City

Kelty Hearts
LWLWL
Season result split
43% W0% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-4
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Edinburgh City
WWDLW
Season result split
43% W29% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-2
1.57 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
DWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Edinburgh City is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 2.29 goals / match - Edinburgh City

Edinburgh City is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.14 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 2 goals / match - Edinburgh City

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: strong

Kelty Hearts scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Edinburgh City keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Edinburgh City scoring profile: very strong

Edinburgh City scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

10Goals scored (season)16
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
15Goals conceded (season)14
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
3.57Average goals in match4.29
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
7Goals scored (last 5)14
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
12Goals conceded (last 5)7
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal86%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
43%2 goals57%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
29%3 goals29%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
0%4 goals14%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal71%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
57%2 goals57%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
29%3 goals43%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
29%4 goals14%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time0%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
43%Scored in both halves57%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
80%BTTS - last 560%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time71%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time43%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Edinburgh City is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 2 pts / match - Edinburgh City

Kelty Hearts - half-time state
43% leading0% draw57% trailing
Edinburgh City - half-time state
57% leading29% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)2
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
0.71Goals scored (1st half)1.29
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.71
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
29%Clean sheet before half-time86%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
57%No goal before half-time43%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per match (2nd half)1
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)1
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)1.57
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
2Average goals (2nd half)2.57
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
43%Clean sheet after half-time29%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
29%No goal after half-time14%
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Edinburgh City - second-half results

29% W14% D57% L
14
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.1

Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kelty Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Edinburgh City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.01.4
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+8-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Edinburgh City
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
4
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.93
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.85
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
160%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Edinburgh City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.99
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
171%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Kelty HeartsLigaEdinburgh City
Average goals in match 3.573.51 4.29
Both teams scored 71%54% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%66% 71%
Clean sheets 0%23% 29%
Goal before half-time 100%83% 71%
Goal after half-time 71%89% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.51
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
2.17
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+62%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+43%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City play?

Kelty Hearts face Edinburgh City on 19 September 2026 in League Two. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City?

Kelty Hearts score 1.43 goals per game on average and Edinburgh City 2.29. The League Two average is 3.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 57% of Edinburgh City's.

What form are Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City in?

Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Edinburgh City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City?

The statistical background for Kelty Hearts vs Edinburgh City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.