Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical: match statistics
Hamilton Academical are in 3rd place in the table and are showing significantly better form than Kelty Hearts (10th position). The hosts have catastrophic home statistics – 0% wins, 82% losses, and a goal difference of -22, without keeping a single clean sheet. Hamilton demonstrates solid effectiveness in away matches (36% wins, averaging 1.82 goals per game) as well as better shot conversion (18% vs 7%). Kelty Hearts have failed to score in 64% of their home matches, which, coupled with a defense conceding an average of 2.45 goals per game, makes them a very weak opponent. All key indicators, including xG (1.3 vs 0.92) and form from the last five matches (1.8 vs 1.0 PPG), decisively favor an away win.
Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kelty Hearts played Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Kelty Hearts: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Hamilton Academical: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kelty Hearts scores 0.91 and concedes 2.18 goals per match. Hamilton Academical scores 1.76 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kelty Hearts 55%, Hamilton Academical 43%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 68%, Hamilton Academical 62%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.93. Kelty Hearts: 6.5 shots per match, Hamilton Academical: 9.9.
Match halves
Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36. Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (6 goals). Hamilton Academical: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hamilton Academical are in 3rd place in the table and are showing significantly better form than Kelty Hearts (10th position). The hosts have catastrophic home statistics – 0% wins, 82% losses, and a goal difference of -22, without keeping a single clean sheet. Hamilton demonstrates solid effectiveness in away matches (36% wins, averaging 1.82 goals per game) as well as better shot conversion (18% vs 7%). Kelty Hearts have failed to score in 64% of their home matches, which, coupled with a defense conceding an average of 2.45 goals per game, makes them a very weak opponent. All key indicators, including xG (1.3 vs 0.92) and form from the last five matches (1.8 vs 1.0 PPG), decisively favor an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamilton Academical is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.8 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 93% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.76 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.18 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.14 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
Kelty Hearts scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
Hamilton Academical scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamilton Academical is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.67 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kelty Hearts
Hamilton Academical
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.09 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 42% | • 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 32% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 - 2 Hamilton Academical. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical?
The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 0:0 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Hamilton Academical?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 0, Hamilton Academical won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical?
Kelty Hearts score 0.91 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 1.76. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 43% of Hamilton Academical's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and Hamilton Academical in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kelty Hearts vs Hamilton Academical: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.