Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT: match statistics
Inverness CT is the decisive favorite for this meeting, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The visiting team presents excellent away form with 54% of away matches won and an astounding 62% clean sheets. In their last 5 matches, they earned 2.2 points per match, scoring 9 goals and conceding only 4. Kelty Hearts sits in 10th place with disastrous home form – 0% wins at home, 69% losses, and a goal difference of -22 in home matches. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 encounters and fail to score in 62% of home matches. xG statistics also speak in favor of the visitors (1.4 vs 1.02), and their shot conversion rate (13%) is more than double that of Kelty Hearts (6%). All indicators point to a certain victory for Inverness CT.
Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kelty Hearts played Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Kelty Hearts: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Inverness CT: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kelty Hearts scores 0.84 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.76 and concedes 0.64. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kelty Hearts 52%, Inverness CT 36%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 60%, Inverness CT 44%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.70 vs 0.97. Kelty Hearts: 6.9 shots per match, Inverness CT: 13.6.
Match halves
Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.36. Inverness CT: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (6 goals). Inverness CT: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Inverness CT is the decisive favorite for this meeting, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The visiting team presents excellent away form with 54% of away matches won and an astounding 62% clean sheets. In their last 5 matches, they earned 2.2 points per match, scoring 9 goals and conceding only 4. Kelty Hearts sits in 10th place with disastrous home form – 0% wins at home, 69% losses, and a goal difference of -22 in home matches. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 encounters and fail to score in 62% of home matches. xG statistics also speak in favor of the visitors (1.4 vs 1.02), and their shot conversion rate (13%) is more than double that of Kelty Hearts (6%). All indicators point to a certain victory for Inverness CT.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inverness CT is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 2.2 pts / match - Inverness CT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inverness CT is 110% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.76 goals / match - Inverness CT
Inverness CT is 213% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 0.64 goals / match - Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 60% (15 of 25 matches).
Inverness CT scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
Over / Under - Inverness CT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inverness CT is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.76 pts / match - Inverness CT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inverness CT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kelty Hearts
Inverness CT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | Inverness CT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.84 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 30% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 - 1 Inverness CT. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT?
The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 0:0 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Inverness CT?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 0, Inverness CT won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT?
Kelty Hearts score 0.84 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.76. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 36% of Inverness CT's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and Inverness CT in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Inverness CT 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT?
The statistical background for Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.