Scotland - League OneData current as of 23 July 2026

Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT: match statistics

Kelty Hearts crest
Kelty Hearts
0 : 0half-time 0:0
Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT
115%(7.60)
X20%(4.50)
265%(1.34)

Inverness CT is the decisive favorite for this meeting, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The visiting team presents excellent away form with 54% of away matches won and an astounding 62% clean sheets. In their last 5 matches, they earned 2.2 points per match, scoring 9 goals and conceding only 4. Kelty Hearts sits in 10th place with disastrous home form – 0% wins at home, 69% losses, and a goal difference of -22 in home matches. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 encounters and fail to score in 62% of home matches. xG statistics also speak in favor of the visitors (1.4 vs 1.02), and their shot conversion rate (13%) is more than double that of Kelty Hearts (6%). All indicators point to a certain victory for Inverness CT.

Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kelty Hearts play Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Kelty Hearts: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Inverness CT: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kelty Hearts scores 0.89 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kelty Hearts 53%, Inverness CT 47%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 50%, Inverness CT 39%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.01. Kelty Hearts: 7.5 shots per match, Inverness CT: 13.4.

Match halves

Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.50. Inverness CT: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Kelty Hearts: 76-90+ (8 goals). Inverness CT: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.

Match description

Inverness CT is the decisive favorite for this meeting, occupying 1st place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The visiting team presents excellent away form with 54% of away matches won and an astounding 62% clean sheets. In their last 5 matches, they earned 2.2 points per match, scoring 9 goals and conceding only 4. Kelty Hearts sits in 10th place with disastrous home form – 0% wins at home, 69% losses, and a goal difference of -22 in home matches. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 encounters and fail to score in 62% of home matches. xG statistics also speak in favor of the visitors (1.4 vs 1.02), and their shot conversion rate (13%) is more than double that of Kelty Hearts (6%). All indicators point to a certain victory for Inverness CT.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

35Possession (%)65
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
6Shots13
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1Shots on target4
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.66xG1.62
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0Corners4
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
28Dangerous attacks73
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
8Fouls10
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
2Cards2
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.89Goals scored / match1.67
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1.72Goals conceded / match0.67
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
49%Average possession56%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
3.58Shots on target / match5.81
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.47Shots per match13.39
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
3.58Shots on target5.81
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
11.9%Shot conversion12.4%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
49%Possession56%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1.01xG for1.69
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1.46xG against0.81
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Shooting quality

Kelty Hearts: BalancedInverness CT: Balanced
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)48%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 57% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 2.2 pts / match - Inverness CT

Kelty Hearts
DWLLW
Season result split
17% W28% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-10-20
0.78 pts / match · goal difference -30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-7-10
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Inverness CT
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
58% W31% R11% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-11-4
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +36
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-7-3
Last 5 away
1-4-0
DDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 88% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.67 goals / match - Inverness CT

Inverness CT is 157% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.72 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 0.67 goals / match - Inverness CT

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: mixed

Kelty Hearts scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 92% of matches (33 of 36 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).

32Goals scored (season)60
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
62Goals conceded (season)24
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
2.61Average goals in match2.33
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal92%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
25%2 goals44%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
3%3 goals22%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0%4 goals8%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal50%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
53%2 goals14%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
25%3 goals3%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
6%4 goals0%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time14%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
11%Scored in both halves33%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS28%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
40%BTTS - last 560%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 87% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.97 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.81 pts / match - Inverness CT

Kelty Hearts - half-time state
19% leading39% draw42% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
47% leading39% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.97Points per match (1st half)1.81
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.78
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.81Goals conceded (1st half)0.28
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1.19Average goals (1st half)1.06
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
39%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
67%No goal before half-time39%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

0.97Points per match (2nd half)1.83
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
0.92Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.28
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
36%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT
61%No goal after half-time36%
Kelty HeartsInverness CT

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

22% W31% R47% P
35
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inverness CT - second-half results

53% W25% R22% P
65
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+18
Goal difference (1st half)
66
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kelty Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
3
10
0-15
7
8
16-30
4
11
31-45
6
13
46-60
4
9
61-75
8
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
10
2
0-15
7
4
16-30
11
4
31-45
11
3
46-60
13
5
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.47
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.88
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-19.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Kelty HeartsLigaInverness CT
Average goals in match 2.612.62 2.33
Both teams scored 53%50% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%49% 39%
Clean sheets 14%28% 50%
Goal before half-time 75%73% 72%
Goal after half-time 83%83% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 - 2 Inverness CT. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 0
Kelty Hearts FC
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
2 : 2
Kelty Hearts FC
Kelty Hearts FC
0 : 3
Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC

FAQ

What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT?

The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 0:0 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Inverness CT?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 0, Inverness CT won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT?

Kelty Hearts score 0.89 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.67. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 47% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Kelty Hearts and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Inverness CT 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT?

The statistical background for Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.